Blue Jays vs. Guardians Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 10, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (65-51) play the Cleveland Guardians (55-60) on Thursday at Progressive Field, at 1:10 PM ET.

The Guardians are an underdog (+122 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Blue Jays (-144). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.

The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of August 10, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Guardians Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -144 +122 9.5

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in 83 games this season and won 47 (56.6%) of those contests.
  • Toronto has a record of 23-18 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 59% chance to win.
  • Games involving Toronto has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 46 of 116 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 54-62-0 ATS in their 116 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 12
ERA 3.34
K/9 7.7

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (40.4%) in those contests.
  • This season, Cleveland has been victorious three times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 48 of its 115 opportunities.
  • The Guardians have an against the spread record of 58-57-0 in 115 games with a line this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.3
HR 5
ERA 2.79
K/9 8.3

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Alek Manoah

  • Manoah and his team have a record of 8-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox.
  • Manoah has started 18 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings eight times. He averages 4.6 innings per appearance.
  • In 18 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
  • Manoah’s team has a record of 6-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Manoah’s team has an 8-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Manoah have an 11-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 53 40.2 39 1.11 19 1
Erik Swanson 52 52.1 60 3.44 27 4
Yimi Garcia 51 47.1 55 4.37 13 3
Jordan Hicks 44 46.1 61 3.69 7 11
Génesis Cabrera 39 41.1 47 4.57 7 0

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Noah Syndergaard

  • Syndergaard gets the start for the Guardians, his 15th of the season. He is 1-5 with a 6.75 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last time out came on Saturday against the Chicago White Sox, when he threw six innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • Syndergaard will aim to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.7 frames per outing.
  • He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for four Syndergaard starts this season — they lost every game.
  • Syndergaard’s team has won four of his 14 starts.
  • Syndergaard’s starts went over the run total 10 times in 14 games with a set total this season.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 51 51.2 48 2.79 0 30
Trevor Stephan 50 49.1 51 2.92 17 2
Enyel De Los Santos 50 48.1 42 2.61 11 0
Eli Morgan 43 46.2 51 3.28 7 1
Nick Sandlin 41 44 49 3.68 6 0

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have put up two or more dingers in 38 games this season, and are 26-12 in those outings.
  • Toronto has gone 18-5 in its 23 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 58-30 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Toronto is 46-13 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Blue Jays are 20-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They are 16-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cleveland has won 16 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 38-31 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-8.
  • In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-11

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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