Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 9, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (66-46) hope to sweep the Arizona Diamondbacks (57-57) on Wednesday at Chase Field, beginning at 9:40 PM ET.

The Diamondbacks (+121 underdog on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Dodgers (-142). The total for this game is 9.5.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of August 9, 2023 at 9:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -142 +121 9.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 55 out of the 92 games, or 59.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Los Angeles has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -142.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 58.7% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of 112 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 59-53-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 15
ERA 3.84
K/9 8.4

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won in 27, or 43.5%, of the 62 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Arizona has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +121.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of its 114 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 114 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 62-52-0 against the spread.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.3
HR 6
ERA 4.50
K/9 9.5

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Bobby Miller

  • Miller will make his first start this season in a game featuring a spread set by sportsbooks.
  • Miller has made nine starts of five or more innings in 12 chances this season, and averages 5.3 frames when he pitches.
  • He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 12 chances this season.
  • This will be Miller’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Miller’s team has won eight of his 12 starts this season.
  • Miller will make his first start of the season in a game with a total set by oddsmakers.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 47 49 36 1.65 14 4
Yency Almonte 47 46.1 46 5.24 10 0
Caleb Ferguson 45 42.1 52 2.98 15 2
Evan Phillips 42 43 47 2.72 6 15
Ryan Brasier 38 42 35 4.29 3 2

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly

  • Kelly will try for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his 20th of the season. He is 9-5 with a 3.21 ERA and 118 strikeouts over 112 2/3 innings pitched.
  • Kelly will aim to go five or more innings for his 19th straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing.
  • He has had one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Diamondbacks have not been a moneyline underdog when Kelly starts this season.
  • Kelly’s team is 11-8 over his 19 starts.
  • Kelly has not yet started a game with a total set by sportsbooks.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Miguel Castro 48 46.1 37 4.08 9 7
Scott McGough 48 54.1 67 4.31 13 9
Paul Sewald 47 44 63 3.48 0 21
Kyle Nelson 45 41.2 53 2.81 7 0
Kevin Ginkel 39 43.1 41 2.08 1 3

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have a 43-15 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Los Angeles is 29-9 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 52-20 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Los Angeles is 58-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers have drawn five or more walks in 50 games this season, and are 35-15 in those contests.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They have won 25 of the 37 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Arizona has won 18 of its 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 53-29 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Arizona has won 51 of its 67 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 19-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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