Brewers vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 9, 2023

The Colorado Rockies (45-68) match up with the Milwaukee Brewers (61-54), after Nolan Jones went deep twice in a 7-3 victory over the Brewers, at 2:10 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Rockies are an underdog (+188 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Brewers (-228). The game’s total is 9.5.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 9, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Brewers -228 +188 9.5

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have won 33, or 54.1%, of the 61 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee has entered four games this season favored by -228 or more and is 3-1 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of its 115 games with a total this season.
  • In 115 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 55-60-0 ATS.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 12
ERA 4.04
K/9 9.5

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have won in 41, or 41.4%, of the 99 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Colorado has a win-loss record of 3-21 when favored by +188 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 34.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over in 48 of its 113 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rockies have posted a record of 55-58-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 8
ERA 5.70
K/9 6.7

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser

  • Houser’s team is 9-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • In 13 starts this season, Houser has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 4.9 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 15 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Houser’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Houser’s team has won eight of his 13 starts.
  • Games started by Houser have a 3-10-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 51 45.2 40 2.17 10 0
Joel Payamps 49 53.1 59 1.86 22 3
Devin Williams 44 43.1 63 1.45 0 27
Elvis Peguero 44 46.2 41 3.86 15 1
Andrew Chafin 44 37.1 53 4.58 12 8

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Chris Flexen

  • The Rockies are sending Flexen (1-5) to make his seventh start of the season. He is 1-5 with a 7.82 ERA and 35 strikeouts through 50 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
  • Flexen has put together three starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 19 outings this season.
  • The Rockies have a 1-4 record in Flexen’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Flexen’s team has won one of his six starts.
  • Flexen’s starts hit the over on the run total five times in six games with a set total this season.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 47 57 58 2.84 8 9
Jake Bird 46 66.2 59 4.18 7 0
Daniel Bard 39 39 36 3.69 6 1
Brent Suter 38 51.2 43 2.61 5 0
Matt Koch 18 19 10 1.42 2 0

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have racked up two or more long balls in 46 games this season, and are 37-9 in those contests.
  • Milwaukee is undefeated in its 12 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together at least eight hits 61 times this season, and has a 43-18 record in those games.
  • Milwaukee is 49-10 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Brewers are 28-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 26 games this season and are 16-10 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has won 11 of its 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 68 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 32-36.
  • Colorado has won 33 of its 45 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 11-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Brewers vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-228)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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