Maikel Garcia carries a 12-game hitting streak into the Kansas City Royals’ (37-78) game against the Boston Red Sox (58-55), at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox are favored at home (-225) against the Royals (+186). The contest has an over/under of 11.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of August 9, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -225 | +186 | 11 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have been favored 53 times and won 28, or 52.8%, of those games.
- Boston has entered six games this season favored by -225 or more and is 3-3 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 69.2% chance to win.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 58 of its 113 chances.
- The Red Sox are 58-55-0 ATS in their 113 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.83 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 101 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (32.7%) in those games.
- This year, Kansas City has won seven of 24 games when listed as at least +186 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 35% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of its 115 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Royals are 49-66-0 against the spread in their 115 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta’s team is 5-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Saturday, when he threw four innings, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits to the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Pivetta has made 10 starts of five or more innings in nine chances this season, and averages 3.4 frames when he pitches.
- He has 12 appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 27 chances this season.
- Pivetta’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Pivetta’s team has won four of his nine starts.
- In Pivetta’s nine starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 39 | 36.1 | 32 | 1.49 | 17 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 39 | 61 | 53 | 2.95 | 13 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 38 | 36.1 | 44 | 2.97 | 0 | 24 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 27 | 38 | 44 | 2.61 | 3 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 21 | 22.2 | 25 | 3.57 | 8 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- The Royals will send Lyles (3-12) out to make his 22nd start of the season. He is 3-12 with a 6.08 ERA and 82 strikeouts over 118 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Friday, the righty went 5 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, allowing five earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Lyles will try to last five or more innings for his 13th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
- He has had one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Royals have a 3-16 record in Lyles’ 19 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Lyles’ team has a 3-18 record in his starts this season.
- Lyles has started 21 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 11 of them.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 42 | 55.2 | 66 | 4.20 | 11 | 1 |
| Nick Wittgren | 25 | 27.1 | 16 | 5.27 | 1 | 0 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 20 | 33.2 | 33 | 6.68 | 0 | 2 |
| Dylan Coleman | 17 | 14.1 | 17 | 10.05 | 4 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox are 25-11 this season in games when they send out at least two long balls.
- Boston is 25-9 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 48-32 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Boston is 48-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Red Sox have gone 13-10 in the 23 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 29 games this season and are 13-16 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 13-15 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 28-37 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 38 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 25-13.
- They have a 4-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-225)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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