The Pittsburgh Pirates (51-62) will look to Connor Joe, currently on a two-game homer streak, versus the Atlanta Braves (71-40) at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, at PNC Park.
The Braves are away and big favorites (-291) at the Pirates (+237). The total for this game is 9.5.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of August 9, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -291 | +237 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 63 out of the 98 games, or 64.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has entered five games this season favored by -291 or more and is 3-2 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 74.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of its 111 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 57-54-0 against the spread in their 111 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.9 |
| HR | 24 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 38, or 41.8%, of the 91 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has played as an underdog of +237 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 29.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 59 of 113 chances this season.
- In 113 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 54-59-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.00 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- Fried and his team have a record of 3-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Friday, when he allowed three hits in six scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs.
- Fried will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- He has made six appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
- Fried’s team has a record of 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Fried’s team has a 3-2 record in his starts this season.
- Games Fried has started this season hit the over one time in five chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 48 | 44.2 | 66 | 5.24 | 5 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 47 | 44.1 | 54 | 4.67 | 11 | 10 |
| Brad Hand | 43 | 38.2 | 42 | 4.19 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 41 | 41 | 51 | 2.63 | 10 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 41 | 43 | 56 | 3.14 | 6 | 2 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Quinn Priester
- Priester (2-1) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his fifth start of the season. He has an 8.69 ERA in 19 2/3 innings pitched, with 16 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent time out came on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed four innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Priester is looking to collect his fourth start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Priester’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
- Priester’s team has put together a 3-1 record over his four starts.
- Priester has four starts with a set total this season — his team has gone over each game.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 45 | 47.2 | 57 | 2.08 | 0 | 23 |
| Colin Holderman | 40 | 39 | 41 | 3.23 | 17 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 32 | 33.1 | 37 | 4.32 | 5 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 25 | 24.1 | 35 | 3.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 46-15 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
- Atlanta has gone 30-3 in its 33 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits 78 times this season, and has a 54-24 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 57-13 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 20-12 in the 32 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 23-8 in those matchups.
- In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-4.
- They have won 36 of the 52 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has won 32 of its 40 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 32 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-17
Braves vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-291)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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