The Washington Nationals (50-64) match up against the Philadelphia Phillies (62-52), a game after Joey Meneses went deep twice in a 5-4 victory over the Phillies, at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Nationals (+158 underdog moneyline odds to win) visit the Phillies (-189). The game’s over/under is 9.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of August 9, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -189 | +158 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 43 (58.1%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia is 12-9 this season when entering a game favored by -189 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of its 114 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 50-64-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.01 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 106 games this season and have come away with the win 45 times (42.5%) in those contests.
- Washington has a mark of 23-23 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +158 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 38.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of its 113 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 62-51-0 in 113 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen
- Lorenzen’s team is 12-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in eight innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
- Lorenzen has pitched five or more innings in 18 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has six appearances with no earned runs allowed in 19 chances this season.
- Lorenzen’s team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-2.
- Lorenzen’s team has a 9-10 record in his starts this season.
- Games Lorenzen has started this season hit the over nine times in 19 chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 51 | 49 | 68 | 3.31 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 49 | 44.1 | 43 | 4.06 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 38 | 31.2 | 33 | 4.26 | 11 | 2 |
| Yunior Marte | 34 | 32.1 | 29 | 5.01 | 2 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 30 | 32.1 | 43 | 3.06 | 4 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore (6-8 with a 4.34 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 112 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Nationals, his 23rd of the season.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, Aug. 2, the left-hander went six innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
- Gore will aim to last five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
- He has had four appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 20 of Gore’s starts this season, and they went 8-12 in those matchups.
- Gore’s team has put together an 8-14 record over his 22 starts.
- Gore’s starts went over the run total eight times in 22 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 47 | 50 | 49 | 2.70 | 8 | 18 |
| Jordan Weems | 29 | 34.1 | 37 | 2.62 | 4 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 22 | 25 | 23 | 6.48 | 2 | 0 |
| Joe LaSorsa | 15 | 17 | 14 | 4.76 | 1 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 15 | 13.1 | 9 | 4.73 | 3 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 25-8 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia is 21-8 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 75 games this season, and is 47-28 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has a 42-9 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 37 games this season, and are 25-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won 18 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has gone 14-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 40 of the 76 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has a 36-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 12-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-189)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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