The Philadelphia Phillies (61-51) and Washington Nationals (49-63) square off on Tuesday at 4:05 PM ET, beginning a four-game series at .
The Phillies are heavily favored at home (-279) versus the Nationals (+227). The game’s over/under is 9.
The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of August 8, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -279 | +227 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 42, or 58.3%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has played as favorites of -279 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 73.6%.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of 112 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 49-63-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 104 games this year and have walked away with the win 44 times (42.3%) in those games.
- Washington has a mark of 2-3 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +227 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 30.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 52 of 111 chances this season.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 61-50-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler and his team are 8-14-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in six innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Wheeler has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 22 chances this season.
- Wheeler’s team is 12-8 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Wheeler’s team has won 14 of his 22 starts.
- In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 9-11-2 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 50 | 48 | 66 | 3.19 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 48 | 43.1 | 42 | 4.15 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 37 | 31.1 | 33 | 4.31 | 11 | 2 |
| Yunior Marte | 34 | 32.1 | 29 | 5.01 | 2 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 29 | 31.1 | 42 | 2.59 | 4 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- Williams (5-6 with a 4.72 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 108 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his 23rd of the season.
- The righty’s most recent appearance came on Sunday, July 30 against the New York Mets, when he threw four innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Williams has pitched five or more innings in a game 16 times this season heading into this matchup.
- In three of his 22 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 9-11 record in Williams’ 20 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Williams’ 22 starts, his team is 11-11.
- Williams has had 21 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those matchups hit the over.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 46 | 49 | 47 | 2.76 | 8 | 17 |
| Jordan Weems | 28 | 33.1 | 35 | 2.7 | 4 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 21 | 23.2 | 21 | 6.85 | 2 | 0 |
| Joe LaSorsa | 14 | 15 | 11 | 5.4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 14 | 12.1 | 9 | 5.11 | 3 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 24-8 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Philadelphia has gone 20-8 in its 28 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 46-27 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia has a 41-9 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 25-12 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won 17 of the 26 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won 14 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 39 of the 74 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has a 35-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 12-10
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-279)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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