The Cincinnati Reds (59-55) are looking for continued production from a batter on a hot streak versus the Miami Marlins (58-55) on Monday at 6:40 PM ET, at Great American Ball Park. TJ Friedl is currently on a two-game homer streak.
As the favorite, the Marlins (-140 moneyline odds) visit the Reds (+117). The game’s total is set at 10.5.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of August 7, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -140 | +117 | 10.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have won 33 out of the 55 games, or 60%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Miami has entered 29 games this season favored by -140 or more and is 23-6 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of 113 games with a total.
- The Marlins are 50-63-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.20 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (48.2%) in those games.
- Cincinnati has a mark of 26-29 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +117 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 46.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 59 of 114 chances this season.
- The Reds have an against the spread record of 68-46-0 in 114 games with a line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 6.83 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez
- When Perez starts, his team is 6-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, July 6 against the St. Louis Cardinals, throwing six innings and giving up one earned run.
- Perez has eight starts of five or more innings this season in 11 chances. He averages 4.8 innings per outing.
- He has made 11 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Perez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-4.
- Perez’s team has won five of his 11 starts this season.
- Out of Perez’s 11 starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 46 | 51.2 | 73 | 2.96 | 21 | 2 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 43 | 52.2 | 53 | 4.10 | 13 | 0 |
| David Robertson | 43 | 47 | 51 | 2.68 | 7 | 16 |
| Andrew Nardi | 40 | 38.2 | 52 | 3.03 | 7 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 40 | 41 | 56 | 2.85 | 10 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- Williamson (3-2) gets the starting nod for the Reds in his 15th start of the season. He has a 4.85 ERA in 68 2/3 innings pitched, with 55 strikeouts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Williamson has pitched five or more innings in a game nine times this year heading into this matchup.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Reds have a 7-5 record in Williamson’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Williamson’s team has won nine of his 14 starts.
- Williamson’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of 14 contests.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 50 | 54.2 | 47 | 2.96 | 16 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 50 | 42.2 | 40 | 2.74 | 12 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 50 | 54 | 49 | 4.00 | 9 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 49 | 49 | 71 | 2.39 | 1 | 32 |
| Sam Moll | 45 | 41.2 | 53 | 4.10 | 6 | 1 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 14-20 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Miami has gone 19-1 in its 20 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 48-39 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Miami is 40-12 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in 25 games this season, and are 13-12 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 30-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 26-8.
- They have won 54 of the 77 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has won 58 of its 70 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+117)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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