The New York Mets (50-61) and Chicago Cubs (58-54) square off on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Citi Field.
An expected close matchup pits the Mets (-114 on the moneyline) against the Cubs (-104). The contest has a set total of 9.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of August 7, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -114 | -104 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 73 games this season and won 40 (54.8%) of those contests.
- This season New York has won 37 of its 69 games, or 53.6%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 112 chances this season.
- The Mets are 42-70-0 ATS in their 112 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.08 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been victorious in 25, or 44.6%, of the 56 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Chicago has a mark of 20-28 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 59 of its 112 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cubs are 58-54-0 against the spread in their 112 games that had a posted line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.8 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- Senga’s team is 6-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
- Senga has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 20 chances this season.
- Senga’s team is 11-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Senga’s team is 11-9 when he starts this season.
- Out of Senga’s 20 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 48 | 45 | 40 | 3.40 | 12 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 46 | 38.1 | 43 | 2.58 | 19 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 41 | 39 | 42 | 4.38 | 7 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 40 | 37.2 | 43 | 3.82 | 9 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 39 | 44.1 | 53 | 6.09 | 3 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- Smyly (8-7) takes the mound first for the Cubs in his 21st start of the season. He has a 4.95 ERA in 112 2/3 innings pitched, with 104 strikeouts.
- The left-hander’s last time out was on Thursday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Smyly has pitched five or more innings in a game 13 times this season entering this matchup.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 22 outings this season.
- The Cubs are 4-5 in Smyly’s nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Smyly’s 20 starts, his team is 10-10.
- Smyly’s starts hit the over on the run total 12 times in 20 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 47 | 50 | 66 | 3.60 | 11 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 47 | 49 | 64 | 2.94 | 21 | 3 |
| Michael Fulmer | 46 | 50.2 | 56 | 3.91 | 9 | 1 |
| Jose Cuas | 45 | 44.2 | 55 | 4.23 | 5 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 41 | 49.2 | 55 | 2.54 | 7 | 14 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 19-17 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- New York is 12-5 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 38-23 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- New York is 38-18 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mets are 15-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 28-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 20-3.
- In 74 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 53-21.
- Chicago has won 46 of its 60 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 24-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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