The Toronto Blue Jays (63-50) and Cleveland Guardians (54-58) square off on Monday at 7:10 PM ET, opening a four-game series at Progressive Field.
The Guardians are an underdog (+106 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Blue Jays (-126). The over/under for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of August 7, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -126 | +106 | 8.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have won 45, or 56.2%, of the 80 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Toronto has a record of 33-27, a 55% win rate, when favored by -126 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 55.8%.
- So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of 113 games with a total.
- The Blue Jays are 53-60-0 against the spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.46 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (40.8%) in those contests.
- This season, Cleveland has been victorious 14 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of its 112 opportunities.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 56-56-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.81 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Hyun-Jin Ryu
- Ryu and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he threw five innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up four earned runs.
- Ryu’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Ryu’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Ryu with a total this season hit the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 51 | 39.1 | 38 | 1.14 | 17 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 50 | 47 | 55 | 4.21 | 12 | 3 |
| Erik Swanson | 50 | 50.1 | 57 | 3.58 | 26 | 4 |
| Jordan Hicks | 42 | 45 | 61 | 3.80 | 7 | 9 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 37 | 39.1 | 46 | 4.81 | 7 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams
- Williams gets the start for the Guardians, his ninth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 3.37 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 42 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came on Wednesday against the Houston Astros, when the righty tossed five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Williams has put up six starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Guardians have a 1-3 record in Williams’ four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team is 5-3 in his eight starts.
- Williams has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those games finished over the total.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 50 | 50.2 | 47 | 2.84 | 0 | 29 |
| Trevor Stephan | 49 | 48.1 | 50 | 2.98 | 16 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 49 | 47.1 | 42 | 2.28 | 11 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 42 | 44.2 | 47 | 3.43 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 40 | 43 | 48 | 3.56 | 6 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have hit two or more long balls in 38 games this season, and are 26-12 in those contests.
- Toronto has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 18-5 in those contests.
- The club is 57-29 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Toronto has a 46-13 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 30 games this season, and are 20-10 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 21 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-5.
- They have won 38 of the 69 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-8.
- They have won 15 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-126)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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