The Washington Nationals (49-63) aim to continue their four-game winning streak when they meet the Philadelphia Phillies (61-51) on Monday at 6:40 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park.
The favored Phillies (-226 on the moneyline to win) host the Nationals (+184). The total in the game is set at 10 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of August 7, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -226 | +184 | 10 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 42, or 58.3%, of those games.
- This season Philadelphia has won five of its seven games when favored by at least -226 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 69.3% chance to win.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 48 of 112 chances this season.
- The Phillies are 49-63-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 104 games this year and have walked away with the win 44 times (42.3%) in those games.
- Washington has a mark of 11-14 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +184 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 35.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 52 of its 111 opportunities.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 61-50-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez and his team have a record of 9-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed 10 hits in 6 1/3 innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Suarez will look to finish five or more innings for the 14th start in a row.
- He has made 15 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Suarez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-3.
- Suarez’s team has won nine of his 15 starts this season.
- In games Suarez has started this season, the teams are 7-6-2 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 50 | 48 | 66 | 3.19 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 48 | 43.1 | 42 | 4.15 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 37 | 31.1 | 33 | 4.31 | 11 | 2 |
| Yunior Marte | 34 | 32.1 | 29 | 5.01 | 2 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 29 | 31.1 | 42 | 2.59 | 4 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- The Nationals are sending Williams (5-6) to the mound to make his 23rd start of the season. He is 5-6 with a 4.72 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 108 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Sunday, July 30 against the New York Mets, the right-hander went four innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Williams has pitched five or more innings in a game 16 times this season entering this matchup.
- In three of his 22 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Nationals are 9-11 in Williams’ 20 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Williams’ team has won 11 of his 22 starts.
- Williams has started 21 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in eight of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 46 | 49 | 47 | 2.76 | 8 | 17 |
| Jordan Weems | 28 | 33.1 | 35 | 2.70 | 4 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 21 | 23.2 | 21 | 6.85 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 14 | 12.1 | 9 | 5.11 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe LaSorsa | 14 | 15 | 11 | 5.40 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 24-8 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia is 20-8 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 46-27 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Philadelphia is 41-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 25-12 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 26 games this season and are 17-9 in those matchups.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-4.
- They have won 39 of the 74 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 47 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 35-12.
- They have a 12-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-226)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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