Max Kepler brings a three-game homer streak into the Minnesota Twins’ (59-54) game against the Detroit Tigers (49-62) at 6:40 PM ET on Monday, at Comerica Park.
The Twins are favored (-171 on the moneyline) when they visit the Tigers (+144). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 7, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -171 | +144 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 74 times and won 45, or 60.8%, of those games.
- Minnesota has entered 19 games this season favored by -171 or more and is 11-8 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of 113 games with a total.
- The Twins are 52-61-0 against the spread in their 113 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 92 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (41.3%) in those games.
- This year, Detroit has won 20 of 44 games when listed as at least +144 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 41% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Detroit has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 58 of 112 chances this season.
- The Tigers are 59-53-0 against the spread in their 112 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.48 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez and his team are 8-14-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw six innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Lopez has pitched five or more innings in 13 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 22 chances this season.
- Lopez’s team is 11-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Lopez’s team has won 12 of his 22 starts this season.
- Out of Lopez’s 22 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 49 | 47.1 | 46 | 2.66 | 16 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 44 | 49 | 45 | 3.31 | 4 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 44 | 43 | 43 | 4.19 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 41 | 43.2 | 59 | 2.89 | 1 | 20 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 15 | 13.2 | 15 | 1.98 | 7 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz
- Wentz (2-9 with a 6.37 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Tigers, his 16th of the season.
- The lefty last appeared in relief on Saturday, July 29, when he tossed 4 2/3 scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins while giving up four hits.
- Wentz heads into this game with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 17 appearances this season.
- The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in 16 of Wentz’s starts this season, and they went 6-10 in those matchups.
- Wentz’s team has compiled a 5-10 record over his 15 starts.
- Wentz has had 16 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 10 of those matchups.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 47 | 48 | 43 | 2.25 | 19 | 4 |
| Chasen Shreve | 45 | 40.1 | 41 | 4.91 | 11 | 0 |
| Alex Lange | 44 | 44 | 56 | 3.89 | 3 | 17 |
| José Cisnero | 44 | 42.2 | 51 | 4.01 | 13 | 1 |
| Tyler Holton | 36 | 55.2 | 50 | 1.94 | 7 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have a 45-11 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Minnesota has gone 31-6 in its 37 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits in 67 games this season, and is 50-17 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 54-9 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 35 games this season, and are 23-12 in those contests.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They have won 18 of the 27 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Detroit has won 15 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 46 of the 66 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Detroit has won 38 of its 51 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 17-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-171)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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