The Boston Red Sox (57-54) and Kansas City Royals (36-77) square off in the first of a four-game series on Monday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are coming off a series defeat to the Blue Jays, and the Royals a series loss to the Phillies.
The Royals (+168 underdog moneyline odds) are away versus the Red Sox (-199). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of August 7, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -199 | +168 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 27, or 52.9%, of those games.
- Boston has a record of 3-3 when favored by -199 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 66.6% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of 111 games with a total.
- In 111 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 57-54-0 ATS.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have come away with 32 wins in the 99 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Kansas City has a win-loss record of 11-24 when favored by +168 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 54 of 113 chances this season.
- The Royals have posted a record of 48-65-0 against the spread this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.96 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello’s team is 12-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Bello has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Bello’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-4.
- In games Bello has started, his team is 12-6.
- In games Bello has started this season, the teams are 9-9-0 at hitting the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 38 | 35.1 | 31 | 1.53 | 17 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 38 | 60.2 | 53 | 2.82 | 13 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 37 | 35.1 | 42 | 3.06 | 0 | 24 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 26 | 37.1 | 44 | 2.65 | 3 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 25 | 30.2 | 16 | 5.28 | 2 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Cole Ragans
- Ragans makes the start for the Royals, his fourth of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.33 ERA and 35 strikeouts over 35 1/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent appearance was on Thursday against the New York Mets, when he threw six scoreless innings while giving up seven hits.
- Ragans will look to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 1.8 innings per outing.
- He has had 12 appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for two Ragans starts this season — they split the games.
- Ragans’ team is 1-2 in his three starts.
- Ragans has had three starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and one of those outings hit the over.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 41 | 55 | 65 | 3.60 | 11 | 1 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Wittgren | 24 | 26 | 15 | 5.54 | 1 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 19 | 32.2 | 31 | 6.89 | 0 | 2 |
| Dylan Coleman | 16 | 13.1 | 15 | 10.80 | 4 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have racked up two or more home runs in 36 games this season, and are 25-11 in those contests.
- Boston has gone 25-9 in its 34 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 48-32 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Boston is 47-10 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Red Sox are 13-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 28 games this season and are 12-16 in those matchups.
- In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-15.
- They have a record of 27-36 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Kansas City has won 24 of its 37 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 4-11
Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-199)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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