The Boston Red Sox (57-53) will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when hosting the Toronto Blue Jays (62-50) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Red Sox are a tight favorite (-115 moneyline odds to win) when they play the Blue Jays (-105). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 6, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -115 | -105 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 27, or 54%, of those games.
- This season Boston has won 23 of its 43 games, or 53.5%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of 110 games with a total.
- The Red Sox are 57-53-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (53.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Toronto has come away with a win 15 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Toronto has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 45 of 112 chances this season.
- The Blue Jays are 52-60-0 against the spread in their 112 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.46 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brennan Bernardino
- When Bernardino starts, his team is 3-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Saturday when he threw a third of an inning out of the bullpen against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
- In seven starts this season, Bernardino has yet to get through five or more innings.
- He has 23 appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 33 chances this season.
- Bernardino’s team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Bernardino’s team is 3-4 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Bernardino have a 2-4-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 38 | 60.2 | 53 | 2.82 | 13 | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 38 | 35.1 | 31 | 1.53 | 17 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 37 | 35.1 | 42 | 3.06 | 0 | 24 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 26 | 36.1 | 42 | 2.72 | 3 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 24 | 28.1 | 15 | 5.40 | 2 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt
- Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 24th of the season. He is 10-6 with a 4.00 ERA and 125 strikeouts in 132 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Monday against the Baltimore Orioles, the righty threw six innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Bassitt will try to build upon a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 innings per appearance).
- He has had seven appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Blue Jays have been the moneyline underdog in 10 of Bassitt’s starts this season, and they went 6-4 in those matchups.
- Bassitt’s team is 13-10 in his 23 starts.
- Bassitt’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 23 games.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 51 | 39.1 | 38 | 1.14 | 17 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 50 | 47 | 55 | 4.21 | 12 | 3 |
| Erik Swanson | 50 | 50.1 | 57 | 3.58 | 26 | 4 |
| Jordan Hicks | 42 | 45 | 61 | 3.80 | 7 | 9 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 37 | 39.1 | 46 | 4.81 | 7 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 25-11 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Boston has gone 25-9 in its 34 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 48-31 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Boston is 47-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have gone 13-10 over the 23 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They have won 26 of the 38 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Toronto has won 16 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 84 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 55-29.
- Toronto has won 44 of its 57 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 18 of their 28 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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