Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 6, 2023

Ha-Seong Kim carries an 11-game hitting streak into the San Diego Padres’ (55-56) game versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (63-46), at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, at PETCO Park.

Oddsmakers project the Dodgers as a tight favorite (-112 moneyline odds to win) against the Padres (-107). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of August 6, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -112 -107 9.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 90 times this season and won 53, or 58.9%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 51-37 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Games involving Los Angeles has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 109 chances this season.
  • The Dodgers are 57-52-0 against the spread in their 109 chances this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 12
ERA 4.60
K/9 8.8

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (36%) in those contests.
  • San Diego has a win-loss record of 9-14 when favored by -107 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 44 of 111 chances this season.
  • The Padres have an against the spread mark of 55-56-0 in 111 games with a line this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 16
ERA 2.80
K/9 10.8

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Lance Lynn

  • Lynn and his team have a record of 9-13-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in seven innings against the Oakland Athletics.
  • Lynn has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 19 times. He averages 5.7 innings per appearance.
  • He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 22 chances this season.
  • Lynn’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-3.
  • Lynn’s team is 9-13 when he starts this season.
  • In games Lynn has started this season, the teams are 16-6-0 at hitting the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 46 45.1 46 5.36 10 0
Caleb Ferguson 45 42.1 52 2.98 15 2
Brusdar Graterol 45 47.1 35 1.71 13 4
Evan Phillips 41 42 47 2.36 6 14
Alex Vesia 36 31.1 46 5.46 6 1

Padres Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill

  • Hill (7-10) takes the mound first for the Padres in his 23rd start of the season. He has a 4.84 ERA in 119 2/3 innings pitched, with 104 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance came for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, July 30 when the left-hander threw five innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Hill enters the matchup with 18 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 22 outings this season.
  • The Padres are 7-10 in Hill’s 17 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Hill’s team has won 10 of his 22 starts.
  • Hill’s starts went over the run total 13 times in 22 games with a set total this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Steven Wilson 43 46 48 2.54 21 0
Josh Hader 43 40.2 62 0.89 0 26
Nick Martínez 42 80.2 74 3.68 14 1
Luís Garcia 40 38 39 5.21 9 0
Scott Barlow 38 41 50 5.71 1 13

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 41-15 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Los Angeles is 27-9 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched at least eight hits in 69 games this season, and is 49-20 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 55-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers are 35-15 over the 50 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Padres Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 48 games this season and are 28-20 in those matchups.
  • In 29 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 21-8.
  • They have won 44 of the 63 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • San Diego has a 46-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 46 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 27-19

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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