Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 6, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (49-61) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (60-52) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The Brewers are favored (-217 on the moneyline) when they take on the Pirates (+179). The contest has a set total of 8.

The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of August 6, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Brewers -217 +179 8

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 32 out of the 58 games, or 55.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 2-1 when favored by -217 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 68.5%.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of its 112 games with a total this season.
  • The Brewers have an ATS record of 54-58-0 in 112 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 10
ERA 5.23
K/9 9.4

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have come away with 36 wins in the 88 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +179 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 35.8% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 57 of its 110 opportunities.
  • The Pirates are 52-58-0 against the spread in their 110 games that had a posted line this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 11
ERA 4.65
K/9 9.1

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brandon Woodruff

  • Woodruff has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, April 8, when he threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Woodruff’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Woodruff’s team is 2-0 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Woodruff this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 50 44.2 40 2.22 10 0
Joel Payamps 48 52.1 59 1.89 22 3
Devin Williams 43 42.1 62 1.49 0 27
Elvis Peguero 42 44.2 37 3.63 15 1
Andrew Chafin 42 36.1 52 3.96 12 8

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo

  • The Pirates are sending Oviedo (5-11) to make his 23rd start of the season. He is 5-11 with a 4.42 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 124 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Tuesday, the righty went seven innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up one earned run while surrendering six hits.
  • Oviedo is seeking his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 frames per start.
  • In one of his 22 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
  • The Pirates are 4-13 in Oviedo’s 17 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Oviedo’s team has won eight of his 22 starts.
  • Oviedo has had 22 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those games finished over the total.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
David Bednar 43 45.2 56 1.38 0 22
Colin Holderman 38 37.1 39 3.38 16 1
Jose Hernandez 31 32.2 37 4.41 4 0
Angel Perdomo 24 23.1 33 3.47 4 0
Yerry De Los Santos 21 23.2 17 3.04 3 0

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have a 36-8 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Milwaukee has put up five or more extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and won each time.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits in 59 games this season, and is 42-17 in those contests.
  • Milwaukee has a 48-10 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in 39 games this season, and are 28-11 in those contests.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 29 games this season and are 22-7 in those matchups.
  • Pittsburgh has gone 19-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 35-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Pittsburgh has won 31 of its 38 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 14 of their 31 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-217)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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