The Philadelphia Phillies (60-51) and Kansas City Royals (36-76) meet on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The favored Phillies (-216 moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Royals (+179). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 6, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -216 | +179 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 71 times and won 41, or 57.7%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has a record of 6-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -216 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 68.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 111 chances this season.
- The Phillies are 48-63-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have come away with 32 wins in the 98 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Kansas City has a win-loss record of 9-20 when favored by +179 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 35.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 53 of its 112 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 112 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 48-64-0 against the spread.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker’s team is 14-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
- Walker will look to finish five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 22 chances this season.
- Walker’s team is 11-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Walker has started, his team is 16-6.
- In games Walker has started this season, the teams are 8-13-1 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 50 | 48 | 66 | 3.19 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 47 | 42.1 | 41 | 4.25 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 37 | 31.1 | 33 | 4.31 | 11 | 2 |
| Yunior Marte | 34 | 32.1 | 29 | 5.01 | 2 | 2 |
| Matt Strahm | 28 | 67.2 | 84 | 3.59 | 4 | 1 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke
- Greinke (1-11 with a 5.32 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 106 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Royals, his 22nd of the season.
- The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the New York Mets, when he threw five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Greinke will try to prolong a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 21 outings this season.
- The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 19 of Greinke’s starts this season, and they went 5-14 in those games.
- In Greinke’s 21 starts, his team is 5-16.
- Greinke has had 21 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in eight of those matchups.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 41 | 55 | 65 | 3.60 | 11 | 1 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Wittgren | 24 | 26 | 15 | 5.54 | 1 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 19 | 32.2 | 31 | 6.89 | 0 | 2 |
| Dylan Coleman | 16 | 13.1 | 15 | 10.80 | 4 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 23-8 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Philadelphia is 19-8 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 72 times this season, and has a 45-27 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 40-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 25-12 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 28 games this season and are 12-16 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has won 12 of its 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 63 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 27-36.
- In 37 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 24-13.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 4-11
Phillies vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-216)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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