The Atlanta Braves (70-38) visit the Chicago Cubs (57-54) at 2:20 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Cubs (+108 underdog moneyline odds) play at home against the Braves (-128). The over/under for this game is 8.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of August 6, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -128 | +108 | 8 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 95 times this season and won 62, or 65.3%, of those games.
- Atlanta is 58-27 this season when entering a game favored by -128 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 56.1%.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of 108 games with a total.
- The Braves are 56-52-0 ATS in their 108 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.5 |
| HR | 24 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 55 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (43.6%) in those games.
- Chicago has a mark of 15-21 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +108 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 48.1% chance of pulling out a win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of its 111 opportunities.
- In 111 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 57-54-0 against the spread.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.2 |
| HR | 20 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton
- Morton and his team have a record of 9-12-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw six innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- In 21 starts, Morton has pitched through or past the fifth inning 19 times. He has a season average of 5.7 frames per outing.
- In 21 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- When Morton starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-10.
- Morton’s team is 11-10 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Morton have a 10-11-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 47 | 43.2 | 64 | 5.36 | 5 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 46 | 43.1 | 53 | 4.78 | 11 | 10 |
| Brad Hand | 41 | 36.2 | 41 | 4.42 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 39 | 39 | 49 | 2.54 | 10 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 39 | 41 | 54 | 3.29 | 6 | 2 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele (12-3) gets the starting nod for the Cubs in his 21st start of the season. He has a 3.03 ERA in 115 2/3 innings pitched, with 106 strikeouts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he tossed six innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Steele will try to last five or more innings for his ninth straight start. He’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing.
- In five of his 20 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Cubs are 3-4 in Steele’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Steele’s team is 13-7 in his 20 starts.
- Steele’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 10 of 20 contests.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 47 | 50 | 66 | 3.60 | 11 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 46 | 48 | 63 | 3.00 | 20 | 3 |
| Michael Fulmer | 45 | 50 | 54 | 3.96 | 8 | 1 |
| Jose Cuas | 44 | 43.2 | 53 | 4.33 | 4 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 40 | 48.2 | 54 | 2.59 | 7 | 13 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 45-15 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Atlanta has gone 29-3 in its 32 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 53-22 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 56-12 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves are 20-12 in the 32 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won 28 of the 44 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Chicago has won 20 of its 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 53-21 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Chicago has won 45 of its 59 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 38 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 23-15
Braves vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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