Yankees vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 6, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 5, 2023

The New York Yankees (58-53) are looking for another strong showing from a batter on a roll against the Houston Astros (63-49) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET, at Yankee Stadium. Jake Bauers is currently on a two-game homer streak.

The Yankees are favored at home (-128) against the Astros (+107). The game’s total is set at 9.

The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of August 6, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Astros Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -128 +107 9

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 41 (58.6%) of those contests.
  • New York has entered 52 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 34-18 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 56.1% chance to win.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of its 111 games with a total this season.
  • The Yankees are 57-54-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 14
ERA 3.78
K/9 9.3

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (57.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, Houston has come away with a win 10 times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 48.3% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 54 of its 112 opportunities.
  • The Astros are 56-56-0 against the spread in their 112 games that had a posted line this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 15
ERA 4.19
K/9 8.0

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon

  • Rodon’s team is 1-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw four innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up four earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • In five starts this season, Rodon has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 4.8 innings per appearance.
  • He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
  • When Rodon starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-3.
  • Rodon’s team has a 1-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Rodon has started this season hit the over one time in five chances.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 46 39.2 32 2.50 14 4
Clay Holmes 44 43.2 53 1.65 5 16
Keynan Middleton 39 37.1 49 3.86 5 2
Michael King 36 56.2 66 3.02 7 6
Albert Abreu 36 46.2 51 4.24 3 0

Astros Probable Pitcher – Jose Urquidy

  • The Astros will send Urquidy (2-2) out to make his seventh start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 5.20 ERA and 23 strikeouts over 27 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday, April 30, the righty tossed 5 1/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • Urquidy heads into this game with three outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • In one of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Astros were the moneyline underdog for two Urquidy starts this season — they lost both.
  • Urquidy’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Urquidy has started six games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Phil Maton 50 52 56 3.12 8 1
Bryan Abreu 50 51.1 77 2.45 19 3
Ryan Pressly 48 50.1 53 3.04 0 26
Héctor Neris 47 46.2 54 1.35 22 2
Kendall Graveman 47 47.1 45 3.61 8 8

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees are 46-15 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
  • New York is 13-2 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits in 69 games this season, and is 46-23 in those contests.
  • New York is 43-12 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Yankees are 19-11 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Astros Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 36 games this season and are 27-9 in those matchups.
  • Houston has won 17 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 58 of the 75 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 61 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 52-9.
  • They have won 27 of their 34 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Yankees vs. Astros Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-128)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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