Jarren Duran brings a two-game homer streak into the Boston Red Sox’s (57-52) game versus the Toronto Blue Jays (61-50) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, at Fenway Park.
The Blue Jays are a close favorite (-110 moneyline odds) when they meet the Red Sox (-108). The over/under for this game is 9.5.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of August 5, 2023 at 3:25 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -110 | -108 | 9.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 44 (55.7%) of those contests.
- Toronto has entered 79 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 44-35 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
- Games involving Toronto has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 45 of 111 chances this season.
- The Blue Jays are 52-59-0 against the spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.76 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 58 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (50%) in those games.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win 29 times in 58 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 51.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of its 109 opportunities.
- The Red Sox are 56-53-0 against the spread in their 109 games that had a posted line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- When Berrios starts, his team is 12-10-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in six innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday.
- Berrios has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 22 chances this season.
- Berrios’ team is 9-8 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Berrios’ team is 13-9 when he starts this season.
- In games Berrios has started this season, the teams are 7-12-3 at hitting the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 50 | 38 | 38 | 1.18 | 16 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 49 | 46 | 54 | 4.30 | 11 | 3 |
| Erik Swanson | 49 | 49.2 | 57 | 3.44 | 26 | 3 |
| Jordan Hicks | 42 | 45 | 61 | 3.80 | 7 | 9 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 36 | 39 | 45 | 4.85 | 6 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – John Schreiber
- Schreiber (1-1) gets the start for the Red Sox, his second of the season.
- His most recent time out was in relief on Wednesday when the right-hander threw one inning against the Seattle Mariners, surrendering four earned runs while giving up three hits.
- The Red Sox were named the moneyline underdog for one Schreiber start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Schreiber’s only start with a total this season went under.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 37 | 34.1 | 31 | 1.57 | 17 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 37 | 59 | 52 | 2.90 | 13 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 37 | 35.1 | 42 | 3.06 | 0 | 24 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 25 | 36 | 41 | 2.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 24 | 28.1 | 15 | 5.40 | 2 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays are 26-12 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Toronto has gone 16-5 in its 21 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits 83 times this season, and has a 54-29 record in those games.
- Toronto is 43-13 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn five or more walks in 27 games this season, and are 17-10 in those contests.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 36 games this season and are 25-11 in those matchups.
- Boston has won 25 of its 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 48 of the 78 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has a 47-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 13-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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