Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 5, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 5, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) will look to Mookie Betts, who is riding an 11-game hit streak, when they square off against the San Diego Padres (54-56) and Ha-Seong Kim, who has safely hit in 10 games in a row. It starts at 8:40 PM ET on Saturday, at PETCO Park.

The Padres are an underdog (+100 on the moneyline) when they takes the field at home against the Dodgers (-119). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of August 5, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -119 +100 9.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 53, or 58.9%, of the 90 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season Los Angeles has won 47 of its 81 games, or 58%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 63 of its 108 chances.
  • In 108 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 57-51-0 ATS.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 13
ERA 4.45
K/9 9.0

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have come away with nine wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, San Diego has won six of 18 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 43 of its 110 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Padres are 54-56-0 against the spread in their 110 games that had a posted line this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 17
ERA 3.30
K/9 10.9

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Michael Grove

  • Grove’s team is 4-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up eight earned runs on 10 hits in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
  • Grove has started 11 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 4.4 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 14 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Grove’s team is 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Grove has started, his team is 6-5.
  • Games Grove has started this season hit the over four times in 11 chances.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 45 45 45 4.80 9 0
Caleb Ferguson 44 42 52 3.00 15 2
Brusdar Graterol 44 46 34 1.76 12 4
Evan Phillips 41 42 47 2.36 6 14
Ryan Brasier 36 40 32 4.28 3 2

Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

  • Snell (8-8 with a 2.50 ERA and 156 strikeouts in 119 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his 23rd of the season.
  • The lefty’s last appearance came on Sunday against the Texas Rangers, when he went five innings, surrendering no earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Snell is looking for his 14th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 frames per start.
  • He has had eight appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Padres were the underdog on the moneyline for four Snell starts this season — they lost every time.
  • Snell’s team has won nine of his 22 starts.
  • Snell has had 22 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those outings finished over the total.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Hill 44 42.2 26 4.22 9 0
Josh Hader 43 40.2 62 0.89 0 26
Steven Wilson 42 45 47 2.60 21 0
Nick Martínez 41 78.2 73 3.78 14 1
Luís Garcia 40 38 39 5.21 9 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have put up two or more long balls in 56 games this season, and are 41-15 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 36 games this season, and has gone 27-9 in those contests.
  • The club is 49-20 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • Los Angeles is 55-16 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers are 35-14 over the 49 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Padres Hitting Trends

  • They have won 28 of the 48 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 29 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 21-8.
  • They have a record of 43-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • San Diego has a 45-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 46 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 27-19

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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