Ryan Jeffers takes a 10-game hitting streak into the Minnesota Twins’ (57-54) game against the Arizona Diamondbacks (57-54) at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, at Target Field.
The Diamondbacks are an underdog (+139 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Twins (-164). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 5, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -164 | +139 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 44 out of the 73 games, or 60.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota has a record of 13-13, a 50% win rate, when favored by -164 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 51 of its 111 chances.
- The Twins are 50-61-0 against the spread in their 111 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.42 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 60 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (45%) in those games.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win seven times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of its 111 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 61-50-0 against the spread in their 111 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda
- Maeda and his team have a record of 6-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Maeda has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 11 chances this season.
- When Maeda starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-1.
- Maeda’s team has won five of his 11 starts.
- Out of Maeda’s 11 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 48 | 46.1 | 44 | 2.72 | 16 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 43 | 48 | 44 | 3.19 | 4 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 43 | 42 | 42 | 4.29 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 41 | 43.2 | 59 | 2.89 | 1 | 20 |
| Jovani Moran | 40 | 41.1 | 47 | 5.44 | 9 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson
- The Diamondbacks will send Nelson (6-5) out to make his 23rd start of the season. He is 6-5 with a 4.84 ERA and 75 strikeouts through 119 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Nelson is looking for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 innings per start.
- In two of his 22 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Diamondbacks have a 7-7 record in Nelson’s 14 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Nelson’s team is 10-12 over his 22 starts.
- Nelson has started 22 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in nine of them.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 48 | 54.1 | 67 | 4.31 | 13 | 9 |
| Miguel Castro | 47 | 45.1 | 36 | 3.97 | 9 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 45 | 43 | 60 | 2.93 | 0 | 21 |
| Kyle Nelson | 44 | 41 | 53 | 2.85 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 38 | 42.1 | 39 | 2.13 | 1 | 3 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 43-11 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Minnesota has gone 30-6 in its 36 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits in 66 games this season, and is 49-17 in those contests.
- Minnesota has a 52-9 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins have gone 23-12 over the 35 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 25-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-7.
- They have a record of 53-27 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Arizona has won 51 of its 67 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 38 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-19
Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-164)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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