Rangers vs. Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 5, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 5, 2023

The Texas Rangers (64-46) match up against the Miami Marlins (58-53) after Adolis Garcia hit a pair of home runs in a 6-2 victory over the Marlins. The game starts at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.

The favored Rangers (-152 moneyline odds) host the Marlins (+128). The total for the game is set at 9 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of August 5, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Marlins Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -152 +128 9

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 44, or 61.1%, of those games.
  • Texas has a record of 24-11, a 68.6% win rate, when favored by -152 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Rangers have a 60.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of its 110 games with a total this season.
  • The Rangers are 65-45-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 17
ERA 4.34
K/9 10.2

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (44.6%) in those contests.
  • Miami has a mark of 9-14 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over in 51 of its 111 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 111 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 49-62-0 against the spread.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 10
ERA 4.25
K/9 8.7

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray

  • Gray’s team is 10-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Tuesday, July 25.
  • Gray has started 19 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 16 times. He averages 5.7 innings per appearance.
  • He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 19 chances this season.
  • Gray’s team has a record of 5-8 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Gray’s team has a 10-9 record in his starts this season.
  • In Gray’s 19 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 43 57 63 4.11 4 1
Aroldis Chapman 39 39.1 71 2.52 10 3
Will Smith 39 40 42 2.70 5 19
Brock Burke 34 43 32 2.72 9 0
José Leclerc 33 34.1 37 3.15 2 1

Marlins Probable Pitcher – George Soriano

  • Soriano starts for the first time this season for the Marlins.
  • The 24-year-old righty will make his MLB debut.
  • Soriano never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tanner Scott 46 51.2 73 2.96 21 2
David Robertson 43 47 51 2.68 7 16
Andrew Nardi 39 37.2 50 3.11 7 2
Jorge López 39 39.1 29 5.03 6 3
Steven Okert 39 40 54 2.93 10 0

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have racked up at least two long balls in 53 games this season, and are 39-14 in those contests.
  • Texas is 25-12 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits 91 times this season, and has a 62-29 record in those games.
  • Texas is 57-18 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rangers are 25-16 in the 41 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • They are 14-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-1.
  • They have won 48 of the 86 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Miami has a 40-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 24 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-11

Rangers vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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