The New York Mets (50-59) will try to snap a four-game losing streak when visiting the Baltimore Orioles (68-42) at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Orioles are favored at home (-176) against the Mets (+147). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of August 5, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -176 | +147 | 9.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- This season, the Orioles have won 34 out of the 49 games, or 69.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Baltimore has won 10 of its 11 games, or 90.9%, when favored by at least -176 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.8% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of its 110 games with a total this season.
- The Orioles are 68-42-0 against the spread in their 110 chances this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.31 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been underdogs in 37 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (27%) in those contests.
- New York has won all of its four games in which it was named as at least a +147 moneyline underdog.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 40.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 46 of 110 chances this season.
- The Mets have posted a record of 42-68-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson’s team is 16-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw six innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Gibson has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 23 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Gibson’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-3).
- Gibson’s team is 13-10 when he starts this season.
- Out of Gibson’s 23 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 48 | 54.1 | 54 | 3.31 | 6 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 47 | 52.1 | 47 | 1.89 | 26 | 4 |
| Felix Bautista | 45 | 51.2 | 101 | 0.87 | 0 | 29 |
| Danny Coulombe | 45 | 38 | 48 | 2.84 | 20 | 1 |
| Cionel Pérez | 39 | 36.1 | 29 | 4.46 | 8 | 1 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill (6-4) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.17 ERA in 71 1/3 innings pitched, with 58 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, June 21, the righty tossed 2 1/3 innings against the Houston Astros, allowing four earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Megill heads into the matchup with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Mets are 4-5 in Megill’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Megill’s team is 7-8 in his 15 starts.
- Megill has had 15 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those matchups finished over the total.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 47 | 44 | 40 | 3.48 | 12 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 46 | 38.1 | 43 | 2.58 | 19 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 40 | 38 | 41 | 4.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 40 | 37.2 | 43 | 3.82 | 9 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 38 | 43.1 | 50 | 6.02 | 3 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have put up two or more long balls in 41 games this season, and are 30-11 in those contests.
- Baltimore is 27-3 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits 69 times this season, and has a 48-21 record in those games.
- Baltimore is 51-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Orioles are 23-6 over the 29 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 19-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has won 12 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 61 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 38-23.
- New York has a 38-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-10
Orioles vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-176)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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