The Cincinnati Reds (59-53) carry a four-game losing run into a home matchup versus the Washington Nationals (47-63), at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Reds are favored (-235 moneyline odds) when they host the Nationals (+194). The matchup has an over/under of 10.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of August 5, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -235 | +194 | 10.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been favorites in 29 games this season and won 19 (65.5%) of those contests.
- Cincinnati has not been bigger favorites this season than the -235 moneyline set for this game.
- The Reds have a 70.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 59 of its 112 chances.
- The Reds have an ATS record of 68-44-0 in 112 games with a spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 6.17 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 102 games this year and have walked away with the win 42 times (41.2%) in those games.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win eight times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +194 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 34% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 52 of its 109 opportunities.
- In 109 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 59-50-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 6.6 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Andrew Abbott
- Abbott’s team is 8-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander gave up four earned runs in 3 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
- In 11 starts this season, Abbott has lasted five or more innings nine times, with an average of 5.9 innings per appearance.
- In 11 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- Abbott’s team is 4-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Abbott has started, his team is 9-2.
- In games Abbott has started this season, the teams are 3-8-0 at hitting the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 49 | 53.2 | 46 | 3.02 | 16 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 49 | 42.1 | 40 | 2.55 | 12 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 49 | 49 | 71 | 2.39 | 1 | 32 |
| Buck Farmer | 49 | 53.1 | 49 | 3.88 | 9 | 2 |
| Sam Moll | 44 | 40.1 | 51 | 4.24 | 6 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Joan Adon
- Adon makes his first start of the season for the Nationals.
- The 24-year-old right-hander has appeared in relief two times this season.
- Adon and his team did not win a game he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago (in 12 chances).
- When he appeared in a game last season, his team went 1-13.
- The games he pitched last season went over the total set by bookmakers five times in 14 opportunities.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 44 | 47 | 45 | 2.87 | 8 | 16 |
| Mason Thompson | 41 | 47.1 | 40 | 4.18 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 26 | 31.1 | 32 | 2.87 | 2 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 19 | 22 | 18 | 7.36 | 1 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 14 | 12.1 | 9 | 5.11 | 3 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have racked up at least two dingers in 38 games this season, and are 30-8 in those contests.
- Cincinnati is 26-8 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 54-23 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Cincinnati is 58-12 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Reds have drawn five or more walks in 38 games this season, and are 18-20 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 16-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-4.
- They have a record of 37-35 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 45 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-12.
- They have won 10 of their 20 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Reds vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-235)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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