The Milwaukee Brewers (59-52) and Pittsburgh Pirates (49-60) clash on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET.
The Pirates are an underdog away (+220) at the Brewers (-269). The total for this game is set at 8.
The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of August 5, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -269 | +220 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 31 out of the 57 games, or 54.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Milwaukee has played as favorites of -269 or more once this season and won that game.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.9% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of its 111 games with a total this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 54-57-0 in 111 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.51 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 87 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (41.4%) in those games.
- This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +220 or longer on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 31.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 57 of its 109 opportunities.
- The Pirates are 51-58-0 against the spread in their 109 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes’ team is 8-14-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Burnes has 20 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 22 chances this season.
- When Burnes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-8.
- Burnes’ team has a 12-10 record in his starts this season.
- In Burnes’ 22 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 50 | 44.2 | 40 | 2.22 | 10 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 47 | 51.1 | 59 | 1.93 | 22 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 42 | 41.1 | 60 | 1.52 | 0 | 27 |
| Elvis Peguero | 41 | 43.2 | 36 | 3.71 | 15 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 41 | 35.1 | 50 | 4.08 | 12 | 8 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Bailey Falter
- Falter (0-7) gets the starting nod for the Pirates in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 5.13 ERA in 40 1/3 innings pitched, with 28 strikeouts.
- The left-hander last appeared in relief on Tuesday, May 16, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants, allowing no earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Falter will try to pick up his fifth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
- He has had one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for four Falter starts this season — they lost all of the games.
- Falter’s team has a 1-6 record over his seven starts.
- Falter has had seven starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and one of those matchups finished over the total.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 42 | 44.2 | 56 | 1.21 | 0 | 22 |
| Colin Holderman | 38 | 37.1 | 39 | 3.38 | 16 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 31 | 32.2 | 37 | 4.41 | 4 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 23 | 22.2 | 32 | 3.57 | 4 | 0 |
| Yerry De Los Santos | 20 | 22.2 | 17 | 3.18 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 36-8 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
- Milwaukee has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and won each time.
- The team has notched at least eight hits in 58 games this season, and is 41-17 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 48-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers have drawn at least five walks in 39 games this season, and are 28-11 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 22 of the 29 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-3.
- They have won 35 of the 50 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has won 31 of its 38 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 14-16 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-269)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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