The Atlanta Braves (70-37) will look for another big outing from a hitter on a roll versus the Chicago Cubs (56-54) on Saturday at 2:20 PM ET, at Wrigley Field. Austin Riley is on a two-game homer streak.
The Cubs are an underdog (+137 on the moneyline to win) when they takes the field at home against the Braves (-162). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of August 5, 2023 at 1:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -162 | +137 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 62 out of the 94 games, or 66%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Atlanta has won 38 of its 53 games, or 71.7%, when favored by at least -162 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.8% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 56 of 107 chances this season.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 56-51-0 in 107 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 24 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have come away with 23 wins in the 54 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Chicago has been victorious eight times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 57 of its 110 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cubs are 56-54-0 against the spread in their 110 games that had a posted line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.4 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.75 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder’s team is 12-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Elder will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- In 21 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- When Elder starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-4.
- In games Elder has started, his team is 15-6.
- In Elder’s 21 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 46 | 42.2 | 63 | 5.48 | 5 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 45 | 42.1 | 52 | 4.68 | 11 | 10 |
| Brad Hand | 41 | 36.2 | 41 | 4.42 | 3 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 39 | 41 | 54 | 3.29 | 6 | 2 |
| Joe Jiménez | 39 | 39 | 49 | 2.54 | 10 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Javier Assad
- The Cubs will look to Assad (1-2) to open the game and make his second start this season.
- In his most recent time out — out of the bullpen on Tuesday — the righty tossed 3 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds while surrendering one hit.
- He will try for his sixth straight appearance without giving up an earned run.
- The Cubs have not been a moneyline underdog when Assad starts this season.
- His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Assad’s lone start with a total this season went under.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 46 | 48 | 65 | 3.75 | 10 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 45 | 47.1 | 62 | 3.04 | 19 | 3 |
| Jose Cuas | 44 | 43.2 | 53 | 4.33 | 4 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 44 | 48.2 | 52 | 4.07 | 8 | 1 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 39 | 47.2 | 54 | 2.27 | 7 | 13 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 45-14 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Atlanta is 29-3 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits 74 times this season, and has a 53-21 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 56-11 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have gone 20-11 over the 31 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won 27 of the 43 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-3.
- In 73 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 52-21.
- Chicago has a 44-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 23 of their 38 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-162)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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