The San Diego Padres (54-55) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (62-45) to open a four-game series at PETCO Park, with first pitch at 9:40 PM ET on Friday. The Padres are coming off a series victory over the Rockies, and the Dodgers a series win over the Athletics.
The Dodgers are an underdog (+107 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Padres (-126). The total for this game is 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Dodgers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -126 | +107 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have entered the game as favorites 83 times this season and won 45, or 54.2%, of those games.
- San Diego has a record of 39-28 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of its 109 games with a total this season.
- The Padres are 54-55-0 ATS in their 109 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 11.2 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (52.9%) in those games.
- Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 6-4 when favored by +107 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Dodgers have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of its 107 opportunities.
- The Dodgers have posted a record of 56-51-0 against the spread this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.89 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- Darvish’s team is 9-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
- Darvish has made 17 starts of five or more innings in 19 chances this season, and averages 5.6 frames when he pitches.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 19 chances this season.
- Darvish’s team has a record of 7-8 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Darvish’s team has a 9-10 record in his starts this season.
- In games Darvish has started this season, the teams are 9-10-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hader | 43 | 40.2 | 62 | 0.89 | 0 | 26 |
| Steven Wilson | 42 | 45 | 47 | 2.6 | 21 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 41 | 78.2 | 73 | 3.78 | 14 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 39 | 37.2 | 39 | 5.26 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 37 | 40.1 | 50 | 5.13 | 1 | 13 |
Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Bobby Miller
- Miller (6-2) gets the starting nod for the Dodgers in his 12th start of the season. He has a 4.37 ERA in 59 2/3 innings pitched, with 59 strikeouts.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the right-hander threw five innings against the Cincinnati Reds, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Miller will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.4 frames per outing.
- In two of his 11 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Dodgers were the underdog on the moneyline for two Miller starts this season — they split the games.
- Miller’s team has a 7-4 record in his starts this season.
- Miller’s starts went over the run total seven times in 11 games with a set total this season.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | 45 | 45 | 45 | 4.8 | 9 | 0 |
| Brusdar Graterol | 44 | 46 | 34 | 1.76 | 12 | 4 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 43 | 41.1 | 52 | 2.83 | 15 | 2 |
| Evan Phillips | 40 | 40.2 | 47 | 2.21 | 6 | 13 |
| Ryan Brasier | 35 | 39 | 31 | 4.38 | 3 | 2 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have a 28-20 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego has had five or more extra-base hits in 29 games this season, and has gone 21-8 in those contests.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in 61 games this season, and is 43-18 in those contests.
- San Diego is 45-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 46 games this season, and are 27-19 in those contests.
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 56 games this season and are 41-15 in those matchups.
- Los Angeles has won 27 of its 36 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 48 of the 68 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 70 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 54-16.
- They have won 35 of their 49 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-126)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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