The Arizona Diamondbacks (57-53) hope to end their three-game losing run versus the Minnesota Twins (56-54), at 8:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Diamondbacks are an underdog away (+110) at the Twins (-128). The total for this game is set at 8.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -128 | +110 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 43, or 59.7%, of those games.
- This season Minnesota has won 35 of its 60 games, or 58.3%, when favored by at least -128 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 51 of 110 chances this season.
- The Twins are 50-60-0 against the spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.24 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 27, or 45.8%, of the 59 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win 18 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Arizona has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 110 chances this season.
- In 110 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 60-50-0 against the spread.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober and his team are 8-9-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up six earned runs in four innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
- Ober has made 16 starts of five or more innings in 17 chances this season, and averages 5.8 frames when he pitches.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 17 chances this season.
- Ober’s team has won 54.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-5).
- Ober’s team is 10-7 when he starts this season.
- In Ober’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 48 | 46.1 | 44 | 2.72 | 16 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 42 | 47.1 | 44 | 3.23 | 3 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 42 | 41 | 41 | 4.39 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 40 | 42.2 | 58 | 2.95 | 1 | 19 |
| Jovani Moran | 40 | 41.1 | 47 | 5.44 | 9 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- The Diamondbacks will send Kelly (9-5) to the mound to make his 19th start of the season as he goes for his 10th victory. He is 9-5 with a 3.23 ERA and 109 strikeouts in 106 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Sunday against the Seattle Mariners, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Kelly will try to prolong an 18-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per appearance).
- In one of his 18 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Diamondbacks are 4-4 in Kelly’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Kelly’s team has an 11-7 record in his starts this season.
- Kelly has started 18 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 47 | 53.2 | 65 | 4.19 | 13 | 9 |
| Miguel Castro | 46 | 44.1 | 36 | 4.06 | 9 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 45 | 43 | 60 | 2.93 | 0 | 21 |
| Kyle Nelson | 44 | 41 | 53 | 2.85 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 38 | 42.1 | 39 | 2.13 | 1 | 3 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have put up two or more dingers in 53 games this season, and are 42-11 in those contests.
- Minnesota has collected at least five extra-base hits in 36 games this season, and has gone 30-6 in those outings.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits in 66 games this season, and is 49-17 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 52-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 35 games this season, and are 23-12 in those contests.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 25-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-7.
- They have won 53 of the 79 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Arizona has won 51 of its 67 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 38 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-19
Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-128)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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