The Chicago Cubs (56-53) will look to keep a three-game win streak going when they host the Atlanta Braves (69-37) at 2:20 PM ET on Friday.
The Braves are favored (-180 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Cubs (+150). The game’s total is 8.5.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -180 | +150 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 61 out of the 93 games, or 65.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta has a record of 31-11 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -180 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 64.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of 106 games with a total.
- The Braves are 55-51-0 against the spread in their 106 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have won in 23, or 43.4%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Chicago has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 57 of its 109 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 109 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 56-53-0 against the spread.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 8.1 |
| HR | 23 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried
- When Fried starts, his team is 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Friday, May 5 against the Baltimore Orioles, throwing six innings and giving up five earned runs.
- Fried’s team is 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Fried has started, his team is 2-2.
- Games Fried has started this season hit the over one time in four chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 46 | 42.2 | 63 | 5.48 | 5 | 13 |
| A.J. Minter | 45 | 42.1 | 52 | 4.68 | 11 | 10 |
| Brad Hand | 40 | 35.2 | 41 | 4.54 | 3 | 0 |
| Kirby Yates | 39 | 41 | 54 | 3.29 | 6 | 2 |
| Joe Jiménez | 38 | 38 | 47 | 2.61 | 10 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks
- Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs, his 14th of the season. He is 4-5 with a 3.61 ERA and 48 strikeouts through 77 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he went seven innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Hendricks will try to continue a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 13 outings this season.
- The Cubs are 4-5 in Hendricks’ nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Hendricks’ team has won eight of his 13 starts.
- Hendricks’ starts went over the run total eight times in 13 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 46 | 48 | 65 | 3.75 | 10 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 45 | 47.1 | 62 | 3.04 | 19 | 3 |
| Michael Fulmer | 44 | 48.2 | 52 | 4.07 | 8 | 1 |
| Jose Cuas | 43 | 42.2 | 52 | 4.43 | 4 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 39 | 47.2 | 54 | 2.27 | 7 | 13 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have racked up two or more long balls in 58 games this season, and are 44-14 in those outings.
- Atlanta has had at least five extra-base hits in 31 games this season, and has gone 28-3 in those contests.
- The team is 52-21 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Atlanta has a 55-11 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves are 20-11 in the 31 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won 27 of the 43 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-3.
- In 73 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 52-21.
- In 58 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 44-14.
- They have won 23 of their 38 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+150)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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