The New York Yankees (57-52) will look to Giancarlo Stanton, on a two-game homer streak, versus the Houston Astros (62-48) at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees (+141 underdog on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Astros (-167). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -167 | +141 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 77 times and won 43, or 55.8%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 23-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -167 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 62.5% chance to win.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of 110 opportunities.
- The Astros are 55-55-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (41%) in those contests.
- This season, New York has come away with a win three times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +141 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 41.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 48 of 109 chances this season.
- The Yankees have posted a record of 56-53-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown
- Brown’s team is 7-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday.
- Brown has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 20 chances this season.
- Brown’s team has won 53.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-7).
- In games Brown has started, his team is 11-9.
- Out of Brown’s 20 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Maton | 50 | 52 | 56 | 3.12 | 8 | 1 |
| Bryan Abreu | 50 | 51.1 | 77 | 2.45 | 19 | 3 |
| Ryan Pressly | 47 | 49.1 | 53 | 3.10 | 0 | 26 |
| Héctor Neris | 46 | 45.2 | 52 | 1.38 | 22 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 46 | 46.1 | 45 | 3.50 | 8 | 8 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- The Yankees are sending Severino (2-5) out to make his 13th start of the season. He is 2-5 with a 7.49 ERA and 50 strikeouts over 57 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went 3 1/3 innings, allowing nine earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
- Severino heads into the matchup with six outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has had one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Yankees have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Severino’s starts this season, and they went 2-6 in those matchups.
- Severino’s team has won five of his 12 starts.
- Severino has had 13 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those outings.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 46 | 39.2 | 32 | 2.50 | 14 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 43 | 42.2 | 52 | 1.69 | 5 | 15 |
| Keynan Middleton | 38 | 36.1 | 47 | 3.96 | 5 | 2 |
| Michael King | 35 | 55.2 | 64 | 3.07 | 6 | 6 |
| Albert Abreu | 35 | 45 | 50 | 4.00 | 3 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 26-9 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
- Houston is 16-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 74 games this season, and is 57-17 in those contests.
- Houston has a 51-9 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros have gone 26-7 in the 33 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 45-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-2.
- In 67 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 45-22.
- New York has won 43 of its 55 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-11
Astros vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (+141)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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