The Milwaukee Brewers (59-51) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-60) at 8:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Brewers are a home favorite (-178) against the Pirates (+150). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of August 4, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -178 | +150 | 9 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have been favored 56 times and won 31, or 55.4%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has a record of 2-3 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -178 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 64% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 47 of 110 chances this season.
- In 110 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 54-56-0 ATS.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.87 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 35, or 40.7%, of the 86 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 10-9 when favored by +150 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of its 108 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 108 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 50-58-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea’s team is 11-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- Rea will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 19 chances this season.
- Rea’s team has a record of 4-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Rea’s team is 11-7 when he starts this season.
- Out of Rea’s 18 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 49 | 43.2 | 40 | 2.27 | 10 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 47 | 51.1 | 59 | 1.93 | 22 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 42 | 41.1 | 60 | 1.52 | 0 | 27 |
| Andrew Chafin | 41 | 35.1 | 50 | 4.08 | 12 | 8 |
| Elvis Peguero | 41 | 43.2 | 36 | 3.71 | 15 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Quinn Priester
- Priester makes the start for the Pirates, his fourth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 9.19 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Priester is trying for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 innings per start.
- The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Priester’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those games.
- Priester’s team has won two of his three starts.
- Priester’s team has hit the over in all of his three starts with a total this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 47 | 48.1 | 63 | 4.10 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 41 | 43.2 | 56 | 1.24 | 0 | 22 |
| Colin Holderman | 37 | 36.1 | 37 | 3.47 | 16 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 31 | 32.2 | 37 | 4.41 | 4 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 23 | 22.2 | 32 | 3.57 | 4 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 36-8 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its 11 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 57 games this season, and is 41-16 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has a 48-10 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Brewers have gone 28-10 in the 38 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 21 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has won 18 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 49 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 34-15.
- In 37 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 30-7.
- They have won 14 of their 30 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-178)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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