The Boston Red Sox (57-51) host the Toronto Blue Jays (60-50) in AL East play, at 7:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Blue Jays (+138 underdog moneyline odds to win) visit the Red Sox (-163). The contest has a set total of 10.5.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -163 | +138 | 10.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won 27, or 55.1%, of the 49 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Boston has entered 10 games this season favored by -163 or more and is 5-5 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 62% chance to win.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 56 of its 108 chances.
- The Red Sox are 56-52-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (51.6%) in those games.
- Toronto has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +138 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over in 45 of its 110 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Blue Jays have posted a record of 51-59-0 against the spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- Paxton and his team are 6-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up one earned run on eight hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- Paxton will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- Paxton’s team has a record of 3-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Paxton’s team has won seven of his 13 starts this season.
- In games Paxton has started this season, the teams are 8-6-0 at hitting the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 37 | 34.1 | 31 | 1.57 | 17 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 37 | 59 | 52 | 2.90 | 13 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 37 | 35.1 | 42 | 3.06 | 0 | 24 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 25 | 36 | 41 | 2.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 23 | 27.1 | 15 | 5.27 | 2 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Alek Manoah
- Manoah (2-8 with a 5.87 ERA and 68 strikeouts in 76 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 18th of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday, the right-hander threw 4 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Manoah has pitched five or more innings in a game seven times this season heading into this game.
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Blue Jays have a 1-5 record in Manoah’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Manoah’s team has won seven of his 17 starts.
- Manoah has started 17 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 11 of them.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yimi Garcia | 49 | 46 | 54 | 4.30 | 11 | 3 |
| Tim Mayza | 49 | 37 | 37 | 1.22 | 15 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 49 | 49.2 | 57 | 3.44 | 26 | 3 |
| Jordan Hicks | 41 | 43.2 | 60 | 3.92 | 7 | 8 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 36 | 39 | 45 | 4.85 | 6 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have hit two or more home runs in 35 games this season, and are 25-10 in those contests.
- Boston has collected five or more extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 25-9 in those outings.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 78 times this season, and has a 48-30 record in those games.
- Boston has a 47-10 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn five or more walks in 23 games this season, and are 13-10 in those contests.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 25-12 in those matchups.
- Toronto has gone 15-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 82 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 53-29.
- In 55 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 42-13.
- In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-10
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-163)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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