The Baltimore Orioles (67-42) and New York Mets (50-58) clash on Friday at 7:05 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Orioles are favored (-152 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Mets (+127). The total for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 7:25 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -152 | +127 | 9.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 33, or 68.8%, of those games.
- Baltimore has a record of 18-6, a 75% win rate, when favored by -152 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of its 109 games with a total this season.
- The Orioles are 67-42-0 against the spread in their 109 chances this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.31 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (27.8%) in those games.
- New York has won all of its six games in which it was named as at least a +127 moneyline underdog.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 44.1% chance of pulling out a win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 45 of its 109 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 109 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 42-67-0 against the spread.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- When Kremer starts, his team is 16-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in four innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- Kremer has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 17 times. He averages 5.4 innings per appearance.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 22 chances this season.
- Kremer’s team has been victorious in 62.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-3.
- Kremer’s team has a 16-6 record in his starts this season.
- In Kremer’s 22 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 47 | 52.2 | 54 | 3.42 | 6 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 47 | 52.1 | 47 | 1.89 | 26 | 4 |
| Felix Bautista | 45 | 51.2 | 101 | 0.87 | 0 | 29 |
| Danny Coulombe | 45 | 38 | 48 | 2.84 | 20 | 1 |
| Cionel Pérez | 39 | 36.1 | 29 | 4.46 | 8 | 1 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- The Mets are sending Peterson (3-7) to the mound for his 12th start of the season. He is 3-7 with a 5.92 ERA and 68 strikeouts over 62 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was out of the bullpen on Sunday when the left-hander tossed two innings against the Washington Nationals, surrendering no earned runs while allowing just one hit.
- Peterson is trying to pick up his ninth start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- He is looking to have his fourth straight outing with no earned runs surrendered.
- The Mets have a 1-4 record in Peterson’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Peterson’s team is 3-8 over his 11 starts.
- Peterson’s starts went over the run total six times in 11 games with a set total this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 47 | 44 | 40 | 3.48 | 12 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 46 | 38.1 | 43 | 2.58 | 19 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 39 | 37 | 39 | 4.62 | 7 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 39 | 36.2 | 41 | 3.93 | 9 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 37 | 43 | 49 | 5.23 | 3 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have racked up two or more long balls in 41 games this season, and are 30-11 in those contests.
- Baltimore is 27-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 68 games this season, and is 47-21 in those contests.
- Baltimore is 50-9 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Orioles are 22-6 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 19 of the 36 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-5.
- They have won 38 of the 61 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 56 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 38-18.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-10
Orioles vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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