The Texas Rangers (63-46) will look to Marcus Semien, riding a two-game homer streak, versus the Miami Marlins (58-52) at 8:05 PM ET on Friday, at Globe Life Field.
The Rangers are favored (-138 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at home against the Marlins (+116). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of August 4, 2023 at 7:25 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -138 | +116 | 8.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have won 43, or 60.6%, of the 71 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Texas has a record of 32-19, a 62.7% win rate, when favored by -138 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
- So far this season, Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of 109 games with a total.
- The Rangers are 64-45-0 ATS in their 109 games with a spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 25 wins in the 55 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Miami has won 14 of 31 games when listed as at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 46.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of its 110 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 49-61-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.77 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery
- When Montgomery starts, his team is 8-13-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday with the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits against the Chicago Cubs.
- Montgomery has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 21 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Montgomery starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-11.
- Montgomery’s team is 7-14 when he starts this season.
- In games Montgomery has started this season, the teams are 9-11-1 at hitting the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 42 | 55 | 60 | 4.25 | 4 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 39 | 39.1 | 71 | 2.52 | 10 | 3 |
| Will Smith | 39 | 40 | 42 | 2.70 | 5 | 19 |
| Brock Burke | 34 | 43 | 32 | 2.72 | 9 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 33 | 34.1 | 37 | 3.15 | 2 | 1 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo (8-5 with a 3.38 ERA and 147 strikeouts in 125 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Marlins, his 23rd of the season.
- The lefty last pitched on Sunday against the Detroit Tigers, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Luzardo has pitched five or more innings in a game 17 times this year heading into this game.
- In four of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Marlins have a 7-4 record in Luzardo’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Luzardo’s 22 starts, his team is 15-7.
- Luzardo has had 22 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those games hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 46 | 51.2 | 73 | 2.96 | 21 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 43 | 47 | 51 | 2.68 | 7 | 16 |
| Andrew Nardi | 39 | 37.2 | 50 | 3.11 | 7 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 39 | 40 | 54 | 2.93 | 10 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 38 | 38 | 28 | 4.74 | 6 | 3 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have a 38-14 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Texas has put up five or more extra-base hits in 36 games this season, and has gone 24-12 in those contests.
- The team is 61-29 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Texas is 56-18 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rangers are 25-16 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won 14 of the 33 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami has gone 19-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 48-38 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Miami has a 40-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 13-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rangers vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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