Drew Waters brings a two-game homer streak into the Kansas City Royals’ (35-75) game versus the Philadelphia Phillies (59-50) at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies are favored at home (-264) against the Royals (+214). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -264 | +214 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 40 (58%) of those contests.
- This season Philadelphia has won three of its four games when favored by at least -264 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 72.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of 109 games with a total.
- In 109 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 47-62-0 ATS.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 96 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (32.3%) in those games.
- This year, Kansas City has won two of 11 games when listed as at least +214 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 31.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 51 of its 110 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 110 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 47-63-0 against the spread.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Phillies or Royals, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola and his team have a record of 8-14-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Nola has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 20 times. He averages 6.3 innings per appearance.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 22 chances this season.
- Nola’s team has been victorious in 64.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-5.
- Nola’s team has an 11-11 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Nola’s 22 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 49 | 47 | 65 | 3.26 | 4 | 18 |
| Gregory Soto | 47 | 42.1 | 41 | 4.25 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 36 | 30.1 | 32 | 4.45 | 10 | 2 |
| Yunior Marte | 33 | 30.2 | 28 | 4.99 | 2 | 2 |
| Matt Strahm | 27 | 65.2 | 82 | 3.70 | 4 | 1 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- The Royals are sending Lyles (2-12) out for his 21st start of the season. He is 2-12 with a 5.99 ERA and 80 strikeouts through 112 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last outing on Saturday against the Minnesota Twins, the right-hander went five innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Lyles is aiming for his 12th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 innings per start.
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 18 of Lyles’ starts this season, and they went 2-16 in those matchups.
- Lyles’ team is 2-18 over his 20 starts.
- Lyles’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 10 of 20 games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Clarke | 42 | 46 | 49 | 5.87 | 10 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 40 | 54 | 65 | 3.67 | 10 | 1 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Wittgren | 23 | 25 | 15 | 5.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 18 | 31.2 | 31 | 6.54 | 0 | 2 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 22-8 record in games this season when they belt two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia has gone 18-7 in its 25 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits 70 times this season, and has a 44-26 record in those games.
- Philadelphia has a 39-8 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 25-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won 11 of the 26 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-15.
- They have won 26 of the 62 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 35 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 23-12.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 4-11
Phillies vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-264)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
