The Chicago Cubs (55-53) will look to Dansby Swanson, currently on a three-game homer streak, versus the Cincinnati Reds (59-51) at 8:05 PM ET on Thursday, at Wrigley Field.
The Reds (+132 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Cubs (-158). The contest has an over/under of 10.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of August 3, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -158 | +132 | 10 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 31 (57.4%) of those contests.
- Chicago has entered 14 games this season favored by -158 or more and is 9-5 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 61.2%.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 57 of its 108 chances.
- The Cubs are 55-53-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 8.3 |
| HR | 24 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been victorious in 40, or 48.8%, of the 82 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a mark of 18-22 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +132 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 43.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 59 of its 110 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Reds have posted a record of 68-42-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.82 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon
- Taillon and his team have a record of 7-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Taillon has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 18 chances this season.
- When Taillon starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-6.
- Taillon’s team has won six of his 18 starts.
- In Taillon’s 18 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 45 | 47 | 62 | 3.64 | 9 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 44 | 48.2 | 52 | 4.07 | 8 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 44 | 45.2 | 58 | 3.15 | 18 | 3 |
| Jose Cuas | 43 | 42.2 | 52 | 4.43 | 4 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 38 | 46.1 | 52 | 2.33 | 7 | 12 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- Weaver makes the start for the Reds, his 19th of the season. He is 2-3 with a 6.80 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 86 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last outing on Sunday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the right-hander threw six innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering two hits.
- Weaver will try to secure his 10th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.8 innings per appearance.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
- The Reds are 10-7 in Weaver’s 17 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Weaver’s team has an 11-7 record in his 18 starts.
- Weaver’s starts hit the over on the run total 11 times in 18 games with a set total this season.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Young | 49 | 42.1 | 40 | 2.55 | 12 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 49 | 53.1 | 49 | 3.88 | 9 | 2 |
| Ian Gibaut | 48 | 52.2 | 46 | 3.08 | 16 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 48 | 47.1 | 68 | 2.09 | 1 | 32 |
| Lucas Sims | 44 | 43 | 53 | 3.77 | 18 | 2 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have racked up at least two home runs in 43 games this season, and are 27-16 in those contests.
- Chicago has gone 19-3 in its 22 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits in 73 games this season, and is 52-21 in those contests.
- Chicago is 43-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cubs are 22-15 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won 30 of the 36 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cincinnati has gone 26-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 54-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has won 58 of its 70 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-158)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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