The Kansas City Royals (34-75) have a 2-0 series lead, aiming to sweep the New York Mets (50-57) on Thursday at Kauffman Stadium, at 2:10 PM ET.
The Royals are favored (-117) in an expected close game against the Mets (-102). The contest has a set total of 9.5.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of August 3, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Royals vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | -117 | -102 | 9.5 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been favorites in 13 games this season and won three (23.1%) of those contests.
- This season Kansas City has won one of its six games when favored by at least -117 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Royals, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of 109 opportunities.
- The Royals are 46-63-0 against the spread in their 109 chances this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have come away with 10 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, New York has won six of 28 games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 44 of its 108 opportunities.
- The Mets have posted a record of 42-66-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Royals Probable Pitcher – Brady Singer
- Singer’s team is 10-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
- Singer will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 21 chances this season.
- Singer’s team has won 33.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-4).
- Singer’s team is 9-12 when he starts this season.
- Games Singer has started this season hit the over 12 times in 21 chances.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Clarke | 42 | 46 | 49 | 5.87 | 10 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 40 | 54 | 65 | 3.67 | 10 | 1 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Wittgren | 23 | 25 | 15 | 5.76 | 0 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 18 | 31.2 | 31 | 6.54 | 0 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco
- Carrasco (3-5) takes the mound first for the Mets in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 6.40 ERA in 70 1/3 innings pitched, with 52 strikeouts.
- The righty last appeared on Saturday against the Washington Nationals, when he tossed 2 1/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Carrasco has seven starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- In one of his 15 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Mets have a 2-6 record in Carrasco’s eight starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Carrasco’s team has a 6-9 record in his 15 starts.
- Carrasco has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in eight of those games.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 47 | 44 | 40 | 3.48 | 12 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 46 | 38.1 | 43 | 2.58 | 19 | 3 |
| Drew Smith | 39 | 36.2 | 41 | 3.93 | 9 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 39 | 37 | 39 | 4.62 | 7 | 0 |
| Phil Bickford | 37 | 43 | 49 | 5.23 | 3 | 0 |
Royals Hitting Trends
- The Royals have hit at least two long balls in 25 games this season, and are 10-15 in those contests.
- Kansas City has gone 11-15 in its 26 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 25-36 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Kansas City is 22-12 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Royals are 4-11 over the 15 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 19 of the 36 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has won 12 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 61 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 38-23.
- In 56 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 38-18.
- They have a 15-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Royals vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-102)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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