Shohei Ohtani’s Los Angeles Angels (56-53) take on the Seattle Mariners (56-52) on Thursday at Angel Stadium of Anaheim, as he tries to collect his 10th win of the season. It begins at 9:38 PM ET.
The Mariners are an underdog (+143 on the moneyline) when they visit the Angels (-169). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of August 3, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Angels vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angels | -169 | +143 | 8.5 |
Angels Betting Insights
- The Angels have entered the game as favorites 60 times this season and won 33, or 55%, of those games.
- Los Angeles has a record of 11-6 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -169 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Angels, based on the moneyline, is 62.8%.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 53 of its 109 chances.
- The Angels have an ATS record of 53-56-0 in 109 games with a spread this season.
Angels Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won in 16, or 44.4%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Seattle has won one of four games when listed as at least +143 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 41.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 108 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mariners have an against the spread record of 51-57-0 in 108 games with a line this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.84 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Angels Probable Pitcher – Ohtani
- Ohtani and his team are 10-9-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in nine innings pitched on Thursday, July 27 in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- In 19 starts, Ohtani has pitched through or past the fifth inning 19 times. He has a season average of six frames per outing.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 20 chances this season.
- Ohtani’s team has been victorious in 68.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-5.
- Ohtani’s team has won 12 of his 19 starts this season.
- Games started by Ohtani have a 9-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Angels Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo López | 42 | 45 | 58 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| Carlos Estévez | 41 | 43 | 53 | 1.88 | 2 | 23 |
| Aaron Loup | 35 | 30.2 | 28 | 4.99 | 7 | 1 |
| Dominic Leone | 30 | 30.2 | 33 | 4.4 | 2 | 0 |
| Matt Moore | 28 | 32.2 | 30 | 1.93 | 15 | 0 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryan Woo
- Woo (1-3) takes the mound first for the Mariners in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.96 ERA in 49 2/3 innings pitched, with 54 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance on Sunday, the righty tossed five innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Woo will look to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.9 frames per outing.
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Mariners have a 3-2 record in Woo’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Woo’s team has won four of his 10 starts.
- Woo has had 10 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those outings hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 52 | 45.2 | 78 | 3.35 | 14 | 1 |
| Justin Topa | 46 | 42 | 38 | 2.57 | 17 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 45 | 36.2 | 38 | 3.68 | 11 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 32 | 31.2 | 32 | 2.27 | 1 | 0 |
| Andres Munoz | 27 | 25.2 | 36 | 2.81 | 12 | 3 |
Angels Hitting Trends
- The Angels are 32-14 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Los Angeles has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 27 games this season, and has gone 20-7 in those outings.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 72 games this season, and is 43-29 in those contests.
- Los Angeles is 43-17 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Angels have gone 19-12 in the 31 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They are 27-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Seattle has won 16 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 44-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Seattle has a 49-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 25-12
Angels vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Angels (-169)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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