Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 2, 2023

The San Diego Padres (53-55) visit the Colorado Rockies (42-65) at 3:10 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Padres are favored (-200 moneyline odds) when they take on the Rockies (+168). The matchup has an over/under set at 12.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of August 2, 2023 at 3:26 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -200 +168 12.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 44 (53.7%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 8-8 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -200 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of its 108 games with a total this season.
  • In 108 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 53-55-0 ATS.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 14
ERA 2.83
K/9 10.3

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been victorious in 38, or 40.9%, of the 93 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Colorado has won 14 of 40 games when listed as at least +168 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 37.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of its 107 opportunities.
  • The Rockies have posted a record of 52-55-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 12
ERA 4.65
K/9 7.1

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Nick Martinez

  • Martínez’s team is 1-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, throwing one inning of relief while giving up no earned runs without allowing a hit.
  • In five starts this season, Martinez has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 1.6 innings per appearance.
  • He has finished 30 appearances without allowing an earned run in 46 chances this season.
  • Martinez’s team has a record of 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Martínez’s team has a 2-3 record in his starts this season.
  • The teams have gone under the point total set by oddsmakers in each of the five games Martinez has started this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Hill 44 42.2 26 4.22 9 0
Josh Hader 43 40.2 62 0.89 0 26
Steven Wilson 42 45 47 2.6 21 0
Nick Martínez 41 75.2 70 3.93 14 1
Luís Garcia 38 36.2 38 5.4 9 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Freeland

  • Freeland gets the start for the Rockies, his 21st of the season. He is 4-11 with a 4.79 ERA and 66 strikeouts through 107 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, the lefty threw four innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Freeland will try to secure his 17th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.4 innings per appearance.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in four of his 20 outings this season.
  • The Rockies are 6-11 in Freeland’s 17 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Freeland’s team has put together a 7-13 record in his 20 starts.
  • Freeland’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 20 contests.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 45 54.2 56 2.96 8 8
Jake Bird 44 63.2 57 4.24 7 0
Daniel Bard 37 37.2 33 2.87 6 1
Brent Suter 35 48.1 40 2.79 4 0
Matt Koch 15 15 9 1.8 1 0

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have a 27-20 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Diego is 20-8 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits in 60 games this season, and is 42-18 in those contests.
  • San Diego is 44-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 27-19 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They have won 15 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-12.
  • In 67 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-36.
  • In 43 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 31-12.
  • They have won 10 of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Under (12.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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