The Seattle Mariners (55-52) and Boston Red Sox (57-50) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Mariners are favored (-125 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Red Sox (+105). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of August 2, 2023 at 3:24 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -125 | +105 | 8.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won 39, or 54.9%, of the 71 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Seattle has a record of 31-25 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of 107 games with a total.
- In 107 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 50-57-0 ATS.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 29, or 50.9%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Boston has won 23 of 42 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of its 107 opportunities.
- The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 56-51-0 in 107 games with a line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 9 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- Gilbert’s team is 10-11-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Gilbert has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 21 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Gilbert’s team has won 43.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-9).
- Gilbert’s team has won 12 of his 21 starts this season.
- In games Gilbert has started this season, the teams are 10-10-1 at hitting the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 51 | 44.2 | 76 | 3.43 | 14 | 1 |
| Justin Topa | 45 | 41.2 | 38 | 2.59 | 16 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 44 | 36 | 37 | 3.75 | 10 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 32 | 31.2 | 32 | 2.27 | 1 | 0 |
| Andres Munoz | 26 | 24.2 | 34 | 2.92 | 12 | 2 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford
- Crawford makes the start for the Red Sox, his 13th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 3.86 ERA and 76 strikeouts through 77 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance came on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Crawford heads into the game with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He has had six appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Red Sox are 5-3 in Crawford’s eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Crawford’s team has a 6-6 record over his 12 starts.
- Crawford has had 12 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and six of those games hit the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 37 | 34.1 | 31 | 1.57 | 17 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 37 | 59 | 52 | 2.9 | 13 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 37 | 35.1 | 42 | 3.06 | 0 | 24 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 25 | 36 | 41 | 2.5 | 3 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 22 | 26.2 | 14 | 4.72 | 2 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have hit two or more home runs in 37 games this season, and are 27-10 in those outings.
- Seattle has gone 16-1 in its 17 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched at least eight hits 66 times this season, and has a 43-23 record in those games.
- Seattle is 48-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mariners have gone 25-12 in the 37 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 25-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has won 25 of its 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 78 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 48-30.
- In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 47-10.
- In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-10
Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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