Dansby Swanson leads the Chicago Cubs (54-53) into a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (59-50) after homering twice in a 20-9 victory over the Reds. It starts at 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Cubs are favored at home (-159) against the Reds (+134). The contest has an over/under of 11.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of August 2, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -159 | +134 | 11 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have won 30, or 56.6%, of the 53 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Chicago has won eight of its 13 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -159 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 61.4% chance to win.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 56 of its 107 chances.
- The Cubs are 54-53-0 ATS in their 107 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.5 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.04 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 40 wins in the 81 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a mark of 17-20 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +134 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 58 of 109 chances this season.
- The Reds are 68-41-0 against the spread in their 109 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.71 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Cubs or Reds, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- When Smyly starts, his team is 10-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, throwing 4 1/3 innings of relief while giving up one earned run and allowing two hits.
- Smyly has made 13 starts of five or more innings in 19 chances this season, and averages 5.1 frames when he pitches.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 21 chances this season.
- Smyly’s team is 5-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Smyly’s team has won nine of his 19 starts.
- In games Smyly has started this season, the teams are 11-7-1 at hitting the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 44 | 46 | 61 | 3.72 | 9 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 43 | 45 | 57 | 3.00 | 18 | 3 |
| Michael Fulmer | 43 | 47 | 49 | 4.21 | 8 | 1 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 38 | 46.1 | 52 | 2.33 | 7 | 12 |
| Javier Assad | 18 | 50 | 40 | 3.24 | 1 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- Williamson (3-2 with a 4.48 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 64 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 14th of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the left-hander went 5 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Williamson is looking for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
- In one of his 13 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Reds have a 7-4 record in Williamson’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Williamson’s team is 9-4 in his 13 starts.
- Williamson has had 13 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those games hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 48 | 52.2 | 46 | 3.08 | 16 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 48 | 41.1 | 39 | 2.18 | 12 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 48 | 47.1 | 68 | 2.09 | 1 | 32 |
| Buck Farmer | 48 | 52.2 | 48 | 3.59 | 9 | 2 |
| Lucas Sims | 43 | 42.1 | 51 | 3.61 | 18 | 2 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have racked up at least two dingers in 42 games this season, and are 26-16 in those contests.
- Chicago is 18-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 51-21 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Chicago is 42-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Cubs have drawn at least five walks in 37 games this season, and are 22-15 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 30-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 33 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 26-7.
- In 75 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 54-21.
- Cincinnati has won 58 of its 69 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 38 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 18-20
Cubs vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-159)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
