Kyle Tucker leads the Houston Astros (61-47) into a matchup with Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians (53-55) at Minute Maid Park, on Wednesday at 2:10 PM ET. Tucker is at .301, the ninth-best average in the league, and Naylor is sixth at .306.
The Guardians are an underdog (+117 on the moneyline) when they visit the Astros (-138). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of August 2, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -138 | +117 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have entered the game as favorites 75 times this season and won 42, or 56%, of those games.
- This season Houston has won 33 of its 52 games, or 63.5%, when favored by at least -138 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of 108 opportunities.
- In 108 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 55-53-0 ATS.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (41.7%) in those contests.
- This year, Cleveland has won six of 23 games when listed as at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in 47 of its 108 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Guardians are 54-54-0 against the spread in their 108 games that had a posted line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Ronel Blanco
- Blanco and his team are 4-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, July 7, when he threw six innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up three earned runs.
- Blanco has six starts of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 3.1 innings per outing.
- He has six appearances with no earned runs allowed in 15 chances this season.
- Blanco’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Blanco’s team has a 2-4 record in his starts this season.
- Games Blanco has started this season hit the over two times in six chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 49 | 50.1 | 77 | 2.50 | 18 | 3 |
| Phil Maton | 48 | 50 | 54 | 3.24 | 8 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 46 | 48.1 | 51 | 3.17 | 0 | 25 |
| Héctor Neris | 45 | 44.2 | 50 | 1.41 | 21 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 45 | 45 | 43 | 3.40 | 8 | 8 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- Bibee makes the start for the Guardians, his 17th of the season. He is 7-2 with a 3.11 ERA and 91 strikeouts over 89 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s last time out came on Friday against the Chicago White Sox, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Bibee is aiming for his eighth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 innings per start.
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Guardians are 3-6 in Bibee’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Bibee’s 16 starts, his team is 9-7.
- Bibee has had 16 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and seven of those outings hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 48 | 48.2 | 43 | 2.96 | 0 | 28 |
| Trevor Stephan | 46 | 45.1 | 46 | 3.18 | 14 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 46 | 45 | 39 | 2.40 | 9 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 41 | 43.1 | 44 | 3.32 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 38 | 41.1 | 47 | 3.48 | 5 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have put up two or more round-trippers in 34 games this season, and are 25-9 in those outings.
- Houston is 16-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 72 times this season, and has a 56-16 record in those games.
- Houston is 51-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros have drawn five or more walks in 32 games this season, and are 25-7 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 16-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-5.
- They have won 37 of the 68 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cleveland has a 33-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 24 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-9
Astros vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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