Mets vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 2, 2023

The Kansas City Royals (33-75) will aim to keep a four-game winning streak alive when they host the New York Mets (50-56) at 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Royals are an underdog (+137 on the moneyline) when they host the Mets (-164). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of August 2, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mets vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mets -164 +137 8.5

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won 40, or 55.6%, of the 72 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York is 13-14 this season when entering a game favored by -164 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have a 62.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of 107 games with a total.
  • The Mets are 42-65-0 against the spread in their 107 chances this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 14
ERA 4.14
K/9 8.2

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been victorious in 30, or 31.6%, of the 95 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Kansas City has won 19 of 62 games when listed as at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of its 108 opportunities.
  • The Royals are 45-63-0 against the spread in their 108 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 15
ERA 5.17
K/9 7.4

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga

  • Senga’s team is 6-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in six innings against the Washington Nationals.
  • Senga has 16 starts of five or more innings this season in 19 chances. He averages 5.5 innings per outing.
  • In 19 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
  • Senga’s team has been victorious in 64.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-6.
  • In games Senga has started, his team is 11-8.
  • Games started by Senga have a 4-15-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 47 44 40 3.48 12 6
Brooks Raley 46 38.1 43 2.82 19 3
Trevor Gott 39 37 39 4.62 7 0
Drew Smith 39 36.2 41 3.93 9 2
Phil Bickford 36 42 48 5.14 3 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Cole Ragans

  • Ragans (2-3) makes the start for the Royals, his third of the season.
  • His last appearance was on Saturday, July 15 against the Tampa Bay Rays, when the left-hander tossed five innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
  • Ragans is trying to secure his second start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • He has had 11 appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Royals were named the moneyline underdog for one Ragans start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Ragans’ two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Taylor Clarke 41 45 49 6.00 10 0
Carlos Hernandez 40 54 65 3.67 10 1
Amir Garrett 25 24.1 28 3.33 0 0
Nick Wittgren 23 25 15 5.76 0 0
Cole Ragans 16 29.1 27 5.22 3 0

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets are 19-17 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
  • New York has collected five or more extra-base hits in 17 games this season, and has gone 12-5 in those contests.
  • The club has collected at least eight hits 60 times this season, and has a 38-22 record in those games.
  • New York is 38-18 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Mets have drawn at least five walks in 25 games this season, and are 15-10 in those contests.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 25 games this season and are 10-15 in those matchups.
  • Kansas City has gone 11-15 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 24 of the 60 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Kansas City has a 22-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won four of their 15 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mets vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-164)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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