The Milwaukee Brewers (58-50) and Washington Nationals (45-63) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 1:05 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Brewers are favored away from home (-132) versus the Nationals (+110). The contest has an over/under of 9.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of August 2, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -132 | +110 | 9 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 30 out of the 54 games, or 55.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Milwaukee is 18-14 this season when entering a game favored by -132 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of its 108 games with a total this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 53-55-0 in 108 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.34 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 100 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (40%) in those contests.
- This year, Washington has won 37 of 89 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 52 of its 107 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Nationals are 57-50-0 against the spread in their 107 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- Miley’s team is 7-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, July 9, when he threw six scoreless innings while allowing four hits against the Cincinnati Reds.
- Miley has started 13 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 11 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
- He has made 13 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Miley’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-2.
- Miley’s team has a 9-4 record in his starts this season.
- Games Miley has started this season hit the over six times in 13 chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 48 | 43 | 40 | 2.30 | 10 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 46 | 50.1 | 58 | 1.97 | 21 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 41 | 41.1 | 60 | 1.52 | 0 | 27 |
| Elvis Peguero | 40 | 42.2 | 36 | 3.80 | 14 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 40 | 34.1 | 49 | 4.19 | 12 | 8 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore makes the start for the Nationals, his 22nd of the season. He is 6-8 with a 4.42 ERA and 124 strikeouts in 106 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Friday against the New York Mets, the left-hander threw five innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Gore will try to continue a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in four of his 21 appearances this season.
- The Nationals have a 7-12 record in Gore’s 19 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Gore’s 21 starts, his team is 7-14.
- Gore’s starts went over the run total eight times in 21 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 42 | 45 | 43 | 3.00 | 8 | 15 |
| Mason Thompson | 41 | 47.1 | 40 | 4.18 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 24 | 29 | 30 | 3.10 | 2 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 18 | 21.1 | 17 | 7.59 | 1 | 0 |
| Hobie Harris | 15 | 19.1 | 9 | 5.12 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 35-8 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits in 56 games this season, and is 40-16 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 47-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Brewers have gone 27-10 in the 37 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 24 games this season and are 15-9 in those matchups.
- Washington has won 13 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 37-35 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 32-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 10 of their 20 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+110)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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