Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 2, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (59-49) take a three-game losing run into a home matchup versus the Baltimore Orioles (66-41), at 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Blue Jays are favored at home (-131) against the Orioles (+111). The total for this game is set at 8.5.

The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of August 2, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -131 +111 8.5

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 43 (55.8%) of those contests.
  • This season Toronto has won 30 of its 55 games, or 54.5%, when favored by at least -131 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 56.7% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of 108 games with a total.
  • In 108 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 50-58-0 ATS.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 18
ERA 4.30
K/9 10.4

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (55.9%) in those contests.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious 19 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 55 of its 107 opportunities.
  • In 107 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 66-41-0 against the spread.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 3.68
K/9 9.1

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi

  • Kikuchi’s team is 13-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, July 26, when he threw six innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up one earned run while allowing seven hits.
  • Kikuchi has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 21 chances this season.
  • Kikuchi’s team has a record of 9-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Kikuchi’s team has a 14-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Kikuchi have a 9-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 49 37 37 1.22 15 1
Yimi Garcia 48 45 53 4.40 10 3
Erik Swanson 48 48.2 55 3.51 26 2
Jordan Hicks 40 42.2 59 4.01 6 8
Génesis Cabrera 35 38 43 4.97 6 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez

  • Rodriguez (2-2) takes the mound first for the Orioles in his 14th start of the season. He has a 6.21 ERA in 62 1/3 innings pitched, with 70 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday against the New York Yankees, when he tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
  • Rodriguez will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 4.8 innings per outing.
  • He has had three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Orioles have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Rodriguez’s starts this season, and they went 5-3 in those games.
  • Rodriguez’s team has won nine of his 13 starts.
  • Rodriguez’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 13 games.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 46 51.2 53 3.48 6 0
Yeinier Cano 46 51.1 46 1.93 25 4
Felix Bautista 45 51.2 101 0.87 0 29
Bryan Baker 44 42 51 3.64 11 0
Danny Coulombe 44 37 46 2.92 19 1

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays are 25-12 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Toronto is 15-5 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 82 games this season, and is 53-29 in those contests.
  • Toronto is 42-13 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays are 17-10 over the 27 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They have won 30 of the 41 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 27-3.
  • In 67 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 46-21.
  • Baltimore has a 49-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 22-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-131)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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