Week 12 Sunday Night Football Betting Preview

SNF Predictions: Browns vs. Ravens Picks

Welcome to our Sunday Night Football betting page, where we provide all the NFL odds, analysis, and predictions you need to cash in on the National Football League in prime time!

Here, we are going to break down every SNF matchup and offer advice on game picks in addition to plenty of different prop bets. So make PlayPicks your go-to destination before making any Sunday Night Football bets at one of the many online sportsbooks available throughout the country.

WEEK 12 SNF BETTING ODDS & PREVIEW

Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens (8:20 p.m. ET)

The Sunday after Thanksgiving brings NFL fans another hard-hitting matchup with the Browns headed to Baltimore for a key AFC North clash. The Ravens (7-3) are atop the crowded division standings with the Browns (6-5) only 1.5 games back in last place. The Bengals (6-4) and Steelers (5-4) are also still in the mix.

These are two of the most run-heavy teams in football with the Browns averaging a league-high 156.8 rushing YPG and the Ravens averaging 151 rushing YPG while logging a league-high 31.8 attempts per game.

Lamar Jackson has shown tremendous improvement as a passer this season, but struggled in a Thursday night game at Miami and was ruled out at the last minute in Week 11 due to a non-COVID illness. The Ravens edged the Bears, 16-13, with Tyler Huntley at QB and will assuredly hope that their MVP candidate is ready to go for this crucial matchup.

The Ravens have won four of their last five against the Browns and covered in three straight. Their most recent meeting was a 47-42 shootout on Dec. 14, 2020, that was completely out of character for both teams.

This season, Baltimore’s offense ranks third in total YPG (402.6) and sixth in red zone TD conversion rate (66.7%) but is somehow 15th in PPG (24.7). The Ravens are scoring 30.4 PPG at home compared to 19 PPG on the road this season. They’re only converting 29% of 3rd downs on the road versus 42.6% at home, but are yielding 27.6 PPG in those home tilts.

Cleveland has struggled badly on offense since losing Kareem Hunt (calf, I.R.), although injuries to Baker Mayfield, several key offensive linemen, and a COVID-related absence for Nick Chubb have played into those issues. The Browns are averaging 17.6 PPG without Hunt, compared to 26 PPG and 168.5 rushing YPG in the five games he’s played in this season. Hunt has been sidelined since Week 6, but is expected to return this week along with RT Tyler Conklin (elbow) in a key development.

Defensively, Baltimore ranks 25th in total DVOA defense, but is better against the run (15th) than against the pass (24th). The Ravens are facing the fewest rush attempts per game (21.1) and giving up the second-most passing YPG (281.1) while facing the second-highest pass-play rate (64.7%). They lead the NFL in 3rd down defense, allowing opponents to convert on just 30.5% of those opportunities.

The Browns rank 12th in DVOA rush defense and are down to 26th in DVOA pass defense on the year. They just allowed Detroit to average 7.3 YPC in a narrow home win and have allowed a whopping 210.8 rushing YPG and 10 rushing TDs at a 5.9 YPC clip over their last five meetings with Baltimore.

For additional information on the upcoming matchup – including further game analysis, betting trends breakdown, betting tips specific to SNF, and a synopsis of the history of the line movement for the game, please see our SNF betting preview at TheLines.

Week 12 Sunday Night Football Betting Picks

Several key Ravens, including Lamar Jackson, didn’t practice Wednesday but returned to the field on Friday after Thanksgiving. Jackson is expected to play and that gives us far more confidence in the Ravens (-190) on the moneyline where it fits into your action. Parlay the Ravens -2.5 with the Over (46.5 points) to generate +190 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Or tease the total down to 41 points and get the Ravens to +2 odds for close to even odds.

Baltimore is extremely thin at the back end with starting CB Anthony Averett (groin) looking questionable and safety Tavon Young (wrist) still banged up. With Hunt and Conklin back, the Browns offense should turn things around enough to force this game over the total. The 4-point spread is right over a key number and there is a decent chance that this divisional slugfest comes down to a Justin Tucker field goal at the buzzer.

Pick: Ravens -3 or better (buy points) or Moneyline (-190) 

Teaser: Ravens +2 and Over 41 points 

Week 12 SNF Prop Bets

Jackson is an exciting player who can also be expected to toss at least one interception (+100 at DraftKings) in his return to action. He’s also improved tremendously as a pocket passer with 10 TD passes and a 69% completion rate over five home games this season. Cleveland is yielding the second-most passing TDs per game (1.9) and allowing a 67% completion rate and 106.8 passer rating to opposing QBs on the road.

Pick: Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-105 or better) / Over 19.5 completion (-130 at DraftKings

While Kareem Hunt is going to siphon some touches, Chubb should remain Cleveland’s unquestioned lead back in Hunt’s return. Chubb is averaging 14.5 receiving YPG with six catches over four road games and Baltimore’s scheme tends to funnel short passes towards RBs. The Ravens are yielding 50.2 receiving YPG to tailbacks and Chubb only needs a portion of that action on one well-designed screen to pay off with over 7.5 receiving yards.

Pick: Nick Chubb Over 7.5 receiving yards (-120 at DraftKings

Week 12 NFL BETTING ODDS

Sunday Night Football Betting

Sunday Night NFL games first began to air on ABC in 1978 under the “Monday Night Football” banner and in 1987, ESPN picked up the broadcast. From 1990-97, TNT aired the game. In 2006, NBC took over the exclusive rights from ESPN and the network holds the rights to this day.

In the 21st century, SNF games have become a headline event thanks in no small part to ESPN including the show as part of its “Sunday NFL Countdown” package. With so much of the betting public focusing on NFL games, there’s more action at online sportsbooks in available markets.

Betting sites offer a wide array of SNF betting markets from traditional moneylines, spreads, and totals to a huge amount of game, player, and team props. With Sunday Night Football running alone in the prime-time slot, there are often more live betting options to pursue as well.

In this article, we’ll go through how to bet on Sunday Night Football including some SNF betting strategies to employ.

How To Bet On Sunday Night Football

While there are often more options, betting on Sunday Night Football is similar to the process of betting on any other NFL game. The most popular NFL markets for any matchup will always be the following:

SNF Moneyline Betting

A moneyline bet is a wager on which team will win the game, regardless of the score. The favorite has a negative line while the underdog has a positive line. Take the following example:

  • Los Angeles Rams -380
  • Chicago Bears +290

The best way to calculate what you stand to win or lose with moneylines is to base everything off the number 100. With favorites, the moneyline is the amount you need to risk to win $100. For underdogs, the moneyline is the amount you can win if you risk $100.

The Rams are the favorite at -380, so bettors must wager $380 to profit $100. The Bears are the underdog with a +290 moneyline, so a $100 bet could profit $290.

SNF Point Spread Betting

When teams don’t necessarily match up evenly, sportsbooks will set a point spread to encourage more action. The point spread is a figure set by oddsmakers that tells us how much a team must win or lose by to ‘cover’ in a game. The favorite must win by more than the point spread, and the underdog can lose the game by a lesser number than the spread indicates and still win the wager.

  • Los Angeles Rams -7 (-115)
  • Chicago Bears +7 (-105)

In this example, the Bears are getting -105 odds to cover a seven-point spread . This means that bettors must risk $105 to win $100 if Chicago wins, or loses by 7 points or fewer. The favored Rams would have to win by 7 or more points to cover at -115 odds. So a bet of $115 on the Rams (-7) would profit $100.

If the spread is a whole number and the favorite’s winning margin lands exactly on the number, the bet is graded a push and all bettors are refunded their original wagers. The spread will be equal for both teams, though the juice that accompanies the odds could vary. Conventionally, games are around -110 but the popular range for juice on NFL spreads is in the -125 to +100 range.

SNF Over-Under Betting

Betting on the over-under (or total) simply involves predicting whether the combined score of the game will go over or under the total set by oddsmakers prior to the game. For example, say the we had the following total:

  • Rams-Bears Over 45 (-110)
  • Rams-Bears Under 45 (-110)

If you want to take the Over 45 (-110), you will need 46 or more points between the two teams combined and you’ll have to lay out $110 to win $100. To place a wager on the Under 45 (-110), bettors will need to risk the same $110 to win $100 and will win the bet if there are 44 points or fewer in the game.

Just like point spreads, a final score on the exact point total will result in a push and original wagers will be returned to both over and under bettors. Also similar to spreads, the juice on most totals ranges from -125 to +100.

Sunday Night Football Props

Sportsbooks offer individual player and team props on most NFL games, but standalone contests on Sunday Night will generally have a wider market of prop bets. These propositions generate a ton of action with some fans planning to watch every minute of the contest and hope that a given wide receiver, running back, or quarterback reaches the desired total.

These betting props offer another option for bettors who don’t like the options on the moneyline, total, or spread, or for the casual fan who simply wants some stake in the action.  Sportsbooks such as DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM are known for posting a huge variety of markets including player props, game props, and team props.

Below, we’ll go through what bettors can expect to run into when looking to make SNF prop bets:

SNF Player Props

The most popular type of prop bet is for individual player performances. Usually, the top options available are over-under propositions on how a skill player will perform. Quarterbacks tend to have a more extensive array of propositions because they are guaranteed a certain amount of opportunities. The options for player prop bets include but are not limited to:

  • Touchdown Scorer (First/Last, Anytime, Halves)
  • Over-Under Passing/Rushing/Receiving Yards
  • Over-Under Pass Attempts, Completions, & Receptions
  • Longest Completion, Reception, & Rush
  • Head To Head Matchups (Most Rushing/Receiving/Passing Yards)

Picking a more specific result, such as the first or last touchdown scorer, usually generates long odds. For even longer odds, specify which half a player might score.

Most of the skill player propositions are set at a competitive number with standard odds, but there is still value to be found by shopping lines across multiple sportsbooks. Larger payouts can also be generated with player prop parlays, which combine player props with the result of the game.

SNF Game & Team Props

In addition to individual player props, sportsbooks will offer propositions on how a team might perform, or on overall game results combined from both teams. Both game and team props can be lumped together in the sense that they refer to a result rather than individual statistics. Here are some examples of non-player props:

  • Winning Margin
  • Team Totals (Quarters, Halves, Full Game)
  • O/U Total Field Goals/Touchdowns (Halves, Full Game, By Team)
  • O/U Total 1st Downs/Turnovers/Sacks (Full Game, By Team)
  • First Team To X Points (10, 15, 20, 25, etc.)
  • Halftime/Full Time Result

Odds vary widely in these markets because some of the props are extremely specific. Picking the exact winning margin (Example: Chiefs win by 7) will generate long odds, whereas picking the Chiefs to win by a margin between 1-6 points will generate shorter odds, but will still have longer odds than simply betting on the Chiefs to cover a 6-point spread.

In primetime Sunday Night Football games, betting on the first team to score X amount of points is an intriguing way to bet on which team will get off to the better start. Going over or under on specific scoring plays – such as the amount of field goals made – is a unique way to wager without investing in a potential winner or loser.

Other team performance props are a great way to capitalize on an understanding of matchups. If a team is missing their starting center when they take on Aaron Donald and the Rams, it’s fair to bet on the Rams topping their team total for sacks.

There are additional team props for bettors looking for a modified line, a specific part of the game, or a combination wager such as a parlay:

  • Quarters & Halves Moneyline, Spread, & Total
  • Alternate Spreads/Totals (Quarters, Halves, Full Game)
  • Moneyline or Spread/Total Points Parlays

And online sportsbooks will continue to adjust and offer more team and game props under the live betting option. These odds change after most pivotal plays and will reflect the current game flow, with the likelier outcome getting shorter odds based on results to that point.

Sunday Night Football Live Betting

Once the game kicks off, the action is only just opening for those with access to an online sportsbook account. Oddsmakers use an algorithm to consistently update odds for the spread, moneyline, total, and for prop bets during Sunday Night Football games.

Some books engage bettors further by offering props on the next drive, or even the next play. Here are some of the live betting options that can be found at sportsbooks:

  • Moneyline, Spread, & Total (Quarters, Halves, Full Game)
  • Alternate Spreads & Totals
  • Team Totals
  • Player Props
  • Next Drive/Play Result
  • Next Touchdown Scorer

Sunday Night Football Betting Strategy

There are some aspects of Sunday Night Football that may alter your perspective of the game compared to how you’d view games on the main Sunday slate. So, it helps to have an angle to consider before diving deeper into analysis of the matchup. Consider the following SNF betting tips and strategies before putting any of your money on the line this Sunday night:

Take Advantage Of Props

As mentioned, the standalone nature of SNF games allows for a larger market of prop bets. Savvy bettors can take advantage of that market by finding the weakest options set by oddsmakers. Scan through the entire list of individual player props and find a running back that is likely to get peppered with targets if their team is behind in the fourth quarter. That is a primary example of the best way to find a relatively untapped market and profit.

No matter what aspect of the game you’re hoping to target, online sportsbooks will likely have it covered in the props section. For fantasy football players, this strategy provides an easy way to use the skills of predicting game flow and player performance to cash in on bets. Odds can vary widely when it comes to prop bets, so it’s possible to play it safe with a bet that is likely to pay out or take a long shot with a smaller wager.

Scour The Injury Report

Injuries always play a critical factor in NFL games and Sunday Night kickoffs give key players a little extra rest to potentially get right ahead of the game. Monitor the injury report and look for updates on Twitter if a key player is going through warm-ups to test out an injury.

Initial injury reports come out on Monday, but the status of players is usually indicated by their participation in practices on Thursday and Friday.

Bet Overs Early & Unders Late

Standalone primetime games often see the most attention from the public simply because it’s the only game on the schedule. This means every recreational gambler in the space is wagering on this matchup, and that may change how you operate as a bettor.

Most casual bettors will place wagers right before kickoff and that can result in line shifts that indicate more about public sentiment than any huge change in the matchup. Fans tend to bet the over, especially right before kickoff, because they’re hoping for an exciting game with more points. That provides the opportunity to fade the public and take the under late, or consider live betting on the under. The same principle can apply towards taking a favorite late if the public is backing an underdog heavily right before kickoff.

Lean Toward Home Teams

Home teams usually have a big advantage in primetime games because the crowd is more energetic and more invested. With NFL stadiums returning to full capacity, it could be very difficult for offenses to communicate and function when playing on the road this season, especially in louder venues.

But don’t be blindly on the home team, especially because oddsmakers consider home-field advantage when setting the spread. Sometimes it’s possible to fade the public by taking a road team that is getting extra value as they prepare to play in a tough environment.

2021 Sunday Night Football Schedule

The NFL has Sunday Night Football scheduled for the first 17 weeks this season, as teams move to a 17-game schedule this season. There will be no SNF game in Week 18 as teams all play in the afternoon to determine the final playoff picture.

Late in the season, some Saturday Night games will be branded as Sunday Night Football and broadcast on NBC. Below is the full schedule for SNF games in the 2021-22 NFL season.

NFL WeekTeam vs. TeamDate
Week 1Chicago Bears at Los Angeles RamsSeptember 12
Week 2Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore RavensSeptember 19
Week 3Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ersSeptember 26
Week 4Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots October 3
Week 5Buffalo Bills at Kansas City ChiefsOctober 10
Week 6Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh SteelersOctober 17
Week 7Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ersOctober 24
Week 8Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota VikingsOctober 31
Week 9Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles RamsNovember 7
Week 10Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas RaidersNovember 14
Week 11Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles ChargersNovember 21
Week 12Cleveland Browns at Baltimore RavensNovember 28
Week 13San Francisco 49ers at Seattle SeahawksDecember 5
Week 14Chicago Bears at Green Bay PackersDecember 12
Week 15New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay BuccaneersDecember 19
Week 16Washinton Football Team at Dallas CowboysDecember 26
Week 17Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay PackersJanuary 2, 2022
Week 18TBDJanuary 9, 2022
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