DFS MLB Lineups for April 13, 2017 at Draftkings.com & Fanduel.com
For this baseball season, each day there’s a good slate of DFS MLB games, we’ll be writing up a group of pitchers and hitters that we’re considering for our cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. We’ll also provide a list of stacks to consider, MLB start times, starting pitchers, and game run totals to give you a good idea of where the fantasy goodness might come from on a given night.
Unlike DFS NBA which is generally somewhat predictable from night to night, DFS MLB is a game with a lot of variance. You can make a really solid lineup and still fall short of the cash line. Even the best pitchers have horrible starts, and the best hitters in the game can still go 0 for 4. Trust the process and know that if you’re playing quality lineups, you’ll be a winner in the long term.
Another thing to remember is to always check the weather. Always. Make this something that is part of your basic routine. Baseball games can get postponed! Your players receive no points from postponed games!
4/13/17 MAIN SLATE TOURNAMENT RUNDOWN
DraftKings Moonshot: $3 buy-in, $110k guaranteed (20 entry max)
DraftKings Fastball: $33 buy-in, $225k guaranteed
DraftKings Perfect Game: $333 buy-in, $100k guaranteed
FanDuel Rally: $7 buy-in, $150k guaranteed
FanDuel Grand Slam: $25 buy-in, $100k guaranteed
FanDuel Squeeze: $3 buy-in, $150k guaranteed
DFS MLB START TIMES, STARTING PITCHERS & GAME TOTALS FOR TODAY’S GAMES
7:05p: Rays (Andriese) @ Yankees (Severino): 8.5
7:05p: Orioles (Gausman) @ Blue Jays (Liriano): 8.5
7:10p: Brewers (Nelson) @ Reds (Arroyo): 9
7:10p: Mets (Gsellman) @ Marlins (Chen): 8
8:15p: Athletics (Hahn) @ Royals (Vargas): 8.5
10:15p: Rockies (Gray) @ Giants (Bumgarner): 6.5
Best DFS MLB Pitchers for April 13, 2017
Madison Bumgarner vs COL ($12.5k DraftKings, $11.3k FanDuel)
Bumgarner is far and away the number one option on the hill tonight. Low WHIP, high K%, lowest game total, pitcher friendly AT&T Park, Rockies far worse wOBA against lefties than righties…the guy ticks nearly every single box you’re looking for tonight. The price is extremely high, but on a two pitcher site like DraftKings, there’s nobody else to pay up for that you can pair with Bumgarner, so I think at DK the strategy is to lock him in for cash games and differentiate at the SP2 position and be contrarian with the bats in tourneys. At FanDuel, there’s always merit to getting off the chalk pitcher in GPPs, but you’ll want to have some shares of MadBum regardless as he’s got the highest upside of anyone going.
Luis Severino vs TB ($6.2k DraftKings, $6.7k FanDuel)
On a night with a bunch of mediocre arms outside of Bumgarner and Gray, here we sit, writing up Luis Severino. Joking aside, there are things to like about Severino tonight. First, he’s averaging right at a strikeout per inning. Second, the Rays hit lefties better than righties and still have a ton of strikeouts in this lineup. Third, he gets a nice amount of ground balls, which should help keep the Rays power bats like Dickerson, Longoria, and Souza inside the yard.
Other pitchers to consider: Jon Gray @ SF, Robert Gsellman @ MIA
Best DFS MLB Hitters for April 13, 2017
Yoenis Cespedes @ MIA ($4.8k DraftKings, $4.1k FanDuel)
Do you believe in hot streaks? Even if you don’t, Cespedes has made a career of crushing left handed pitchers with massive positive bumps in wOBA and ISO against southpaws. Further, with the popularity of the guys in the stack below, Cespedes is going to come in at much lower ownership than expected for a guy that just launched three bombs in one game. Wei-Yin Chen never really gets completely blown up, so this isn’t a good stacking situation, but the one-off play of Cespedes will help me round out many of my lineups.
Joey Votto ($4.9k DraftKings, $3.7k FanDuel)
Another hitter I expect to low owned compared to the other first basemen on the slate. Votto has had a rough start to the year. He’s yet to have a multi-hit game, which has also led to him not having a multi-RBI game so far. Here’s where it gets good. He’s currently sporting an absurdly low .143 BABIP, a full .220 points lower than what he’s had each of the past two seasons. That will even out. He’s crushed righties to the tune of a career .418 wOBA and Jimmy Nelson just so happens to be right handed. He also gives up well over 1 HR/9. I like Votto’s chances of getting back on track tonight in a spot where we get him at sub 8% ownership.
Other hitters to consider: Wellington Castillo, Chase Headley, Kendrys Morales, Marcus Semien
4/13/17 DFS MLB STACKS
Brewers @ Bronson Arroyo
There’s chalk, and then there’s what the Brewers will be tonight. Brewers hitters are going to pop on every model, especially at FanDuel where they are ridiculously cheap. The Brewers strikeout a ton, but Arroyo doesn’t strike anybody out (6.7k/9). The biggest question you’ll face tonight will be whether or not you want to go along with the crowd or fade what is likely to be most heavily owned group of players by a wide margin. If you’re a single entry type of player, I think the play is to fade. Baseball is strange, as evidenced by what just went on at Coors Field with the likes of Jared Weaver and Zach Lee holding the Rockies to horrible offensive performances. If you’re multi-entering, You can still differentiate by avoiding the typical 1-4 or 1-5 stack and including whoever hits 6th or 7th in your stack.
Other stacks to consider:
Reds vs Jimmy Nelson
Orioles @ Francisco Liriano