Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – July 9

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 9, 2023

The Phoenix Mercury (3-14) take a three-game skid into a home matchup against the Los Angeles Sparks (7-11), losers of four straight.

Before you make an informed wager on the contest, take a loot at the best bets available for Sunday’s game according to our computer predictions.

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Spread: Mercury (-2) to Cover

  • The Mercury are the bet in this game. They’re favored by 3.9 more points in the model than DraftKings (5.9 to 2).
  • The Mercury have gone 4-12-0 ATS this season.
  • Phoenix is 1-2 against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
  • The Sparks have an 8-9-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games it has played as at least a 2-point underdog this year, Los Angeles is 4-4 against the spread.

Think the Mercury will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 160

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is just 5.7 points lower than the model projection.
  • Of 16 games thus far this season, the Mercury have played 11 with over 160 points scored, their current matchup’s total.
  • This season, nine of Los Angeles’ 17 total matchups have gone over 160 total points scored.
  • The teams have hit the over in nine of the Mercury’s 17 games with a set total.
  • The Sparks have hit the over in nine of their 17 games with a set total (52.9%).

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Mercury (-125)

  • Prediction: Mercury 86, Sparks 80
  • Phoenix has been a moneyline favorite four times this season. They’ve finished 1-3 in those games.

Which team do you think will take home the win? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Mercury Leaders

  • Brittney Griner leads the Mercury in scoring, tallying 19.3 points per game to go with 6.3 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
  • Phoenix’s leading rebounder is Brianna Turner averaging 6.0 boards per game and its best passer is Sug Sutton and her 5.3 assists per game.
  • Diana Taurasi makes more threes per game than any other member of the Mercury, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.2 per contest.
  • Turner is Phoenix’s leader in steals, averaging 1.0 steal per game, while Griner leads them in blocks with 2.1 per contest.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Skylar Diggins-Smith Out Personal

Sparks Leaders

  • The Sparks’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Nneka Ogwumike with 19.8 points and 9.2 rebounds per game.
  • Jordin Canada’s assist statline paces Los Angeles; she records 5.8 assists per game.
  • Karlie Samuelson is the most prolific from deep for the Sparks, hitting 1.5 threes per game.
  • Los Angeles’ leader in steals and blocks is Ogwumike with 1.7 steals and 0.8 blocks per game.

Sparks Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Lexie Brown Out Illness
Layshia Clarendon Out Foot
Chiney Ogwumike Out Foot
Jasmine Thomas Out Knee
Nia Clouden Out Knee
Katie Lou Samuelson Out Personal

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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