The Dallas Wings (8-9) will look to Arike Ogunbowale (fourth in WNBA, 21.5 points per game) going up against A’ja Wilson (fifth in league, 19.8) and the Las Vegas Aces (16-1) on July 7, 2023 at College Park Center.
Check out below to find the best bets you can make on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Wings (-8.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.9 points) is much tighter than the 8.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Aces, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Wings to cover.
- The Wings are 7-8-0 against the spread this season.
- Dallas has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.
- The Aces have gone 6-7-0 ATS this season.
- In games this season it was favored by 8.5 points or more, Las Vegas has a 5-7 record against the spread.
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Total: Over 175
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (168.7 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (175 points).
- Out of 13 games so far this year, the Aces have had five with over 175 points scored, their current matchup’s total.
- Dallas’ games have gone over 175 total points scored in six of 15 total matchups this year.
- Aces games have hit the over in six out of 15 opportunities (40%).
- The teams have hit the over in six of the Wings’ 15 games with a set total.
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Moneyline Winner: Aces (-475)
- Prediction: Aces 87, Wings 82
- Las Vegas has been listed as a moneyline favorite 13 times this season, and has won each of those games.
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Aces Leaders
- The Aces leader in points and rebounds is Wilson, who scores 19.8 points and pulls down 9.5 rebounds per game.
- Las Vegas’ best passer is Chelsea Gray, who averages 6.4 assists per game to go with her 14.5 PPG scoring average.
- The Aces get the most three-point shooting production out of Jackie Young, who knocks down 2.2 threes per game.
- Candace Parker is Las Vegas’ leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Wilson leads them in blocks with 2.1 per contest.
Aces Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | Out | Illness |
| Riquna Williams | Out | Back |
Wings Leaders
- The Wings’ Ogunbowale puts up enough points (21.5 per game) and assists (4.5 per game) to sit atop the team’s leaderboards.
- Satou Sabally grabs 9.8 rebounds per game (she also scores 18.5 points per game and adds 3.4 assists per game) which puts her at the top of the Dallas rebounding leaderboard.
- Ogunbowale is the top scorer from deep for the Wings, hitting 2.6 threes per game.
- Dallas’ leader in steals is Ogunbowale (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Natasha Howard (1.2 per game).
Wings Injuries
| Name | Game Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Lou Lopez Senechal | Out | Knee |
| Diamond DeShields | Out | Knee |
All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.
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